With yet another event on the UFC schedule this weekend, we are shifting focus to the main event bout where strawweights Mackenzie Dern and Angela Hill meet. They were supposed to be the featured bout on the main card of last weekend’s event, but on short notice, they moved to this week’s main event slot.
Read along for an in-depth betting analysis and the official Dern vs Hill prediction before you make your UFC picks this weekend.
Mackenzie Dern vs. Angela Hill Information
Mackenzie Dern vs Angela Hill
Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Date and Time: May 20, 2023. 7 PM ET
How to Watch: ESPN+
Mackenzie Dern vs. Angela Hill Last Fight Record
Dern is looking to bounce back from a loss to Xiaonan Yan in her last time in the octagon, last October.
Hill is coming off an impressive performance over Emily Ducote last December, where she won via unanimous decision.
Mackenzie Dern vs. Angela Hill Betting Analysis
Mackenzie Dern Facts to Know
Dern has had an interesting UFC career so far. She came into the promotion with a ton of hype, being a BJJ world champion prior to the start of her MMA career. She has a 12-3 record with seven submission victories but seems to fall short when the UFC puts her in front of any legit contenders.
The submission specialist hasn’t had as much success in the grappling statistics while in the UFC, only averaging 0.61 takedowns per 15 minutes at an 11% accuracy rate.
She has averaged 1.8 submissions per 15 minutes, though. It will be interesting to see the constant improvements in other areas of her game, like striking and wrestling, as her career goes on.
Angela Hill Facts to Know
Hill has proven to be a pioneer in the women’s MMA game; this will be her 28th professional fight at the age of 38. She has fought in either the UFC or Invicta FC for the entirety of her career. She holds a 15-12 record, with 5 TKO/KO finishes.
Hill is trying to make one last run at the title, and this is a perfect gatekeeping matchup for her to break into the top of the division. She is a fan favorite and has been fighting consistently for the UFC for a long time. Hill has a solid 77% takedown defense as well.
Updates
No injuries have been reported to the UFC or NSAC.
Mackenzie Dern vs. Angela Hill Betting Preview
Moneyline: According to UFC odds, Mackenzie Dern is the -172 betting favorite going into this main event bout this weekend. Hill is the +147 underdog, which is surprising for someone with the back-and-forth record she has.
Over/Under Totals: The over/under is set at 4.5 rounds, with the fight going the distance prop at -125 odds. The Dern vs Hill prediction will most likely be a decision-winner. The oddsmakers believe that as well, according to all the lines.
This is a massive fight for Dern. She has the skill to dominate someone like Angela Hill, and she has a chance to get back in the winning column with a solid main event win. Hill, on the other hand, has a chance to have a key win and make a case to get an even bigger fight against a big-time contender in the strawweight division.
Mackenzie Dern vs. Angela Hill Betting Prediction
After breaking down the recent fights of both Dern and Hill, it is very tough to make UFC picks with fights this closely matched. Dern struggles to get going in the bigger fights, and Hill has found new success with an aggressive style of fighting.
Even with the struggles, the final Dern vs Hill prediction is that Dern will get her hand raised at the end of the night. This will most likely be a decision, but she has the world-class skill to lock up a submission if she can get Hill in a bad position on the ground.
This is a must-win for Dern. She has the experience with five-round fights, and she has all the natural athletic ability on her side. We have to trust she is continually getting better and fixing the holes in her game.
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