UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo: Prop Bets

When there’s a Brazilian-hosted event on the UFC schedule, every MMA fan should want to tune in. If you are into sports betting as well, this is a perfect opportunity to hit on some big prop bets this weekend with a lot of intriguing lines available on this card.

UFC Fight Night prop bets are very tough to hit, but there are always a few on every card that sticks out as the most possible with great value. Let’s take a look at some key matchups with the best prop bet picks available on this weekend’s card.

To make these picks, we need to preview the betting lines and study the tape on both athletes to justify a specific outcome of the bout.

Prop Bet Lines

Gomez’s Path to Victory

To start out on the betting slate, one of the easiest UFC Fight Night prop bets to make is taking Denise Gomez winning inside the distance at +225. She is fighting a tough and experienced Angela Hill, but Hill is at the end of her career and has taken too many losses to be a real threat against a highly skilled Gomez. Gomez also has legit power and can change the fight at any moment with one clean punch landed.

The Bonfim Brothers’ Signature Move

Another UFC pick to make is for one of the Bonfim brothers, Ismael, to win inside the distance. In fact, you should take both Ismael and Gabriel to win inside the distance. These two are some of the most legit prospects in the UFC, with crazy finishing ability. This is a special event for them in Brazil and you can expect them to put on stellar performances.

Borralho the Heavy Favorite

The UFC odds have Caio Borralho as a big favorite over Abus Magomedov, but the fight is closer than it seems on paper. Since it’s a three-round bout, Magomedov won’t gas out as much as he did against Strickland, and Borralho just isn’t as dominant as Strickland in the striking game.

The pick to make for that middleweight bout is for it to go to a decision at +140. Those are great odds for a fight against two tough, elite fighters who won’t want to give anything to their opponents. There are probably going to be some cool grappling exchanges that will take up a lot of time and push this one to a decision.

Almeida’s Path to Glory

Moving onto the main event of the evening, we have a heavyweight bout between one of the scariest rising contenders on the roster Jailton Almeida, and fan-favorite veteran, Derrick Lewis. Almeida is a massive favorite in this one, for many reasons.

The prop bet to make on this headlining bout is Almeida winning by submission at -150. It’s always tough to bet against Lewis because he’s so fun to watch and so likable, but Almeida has a different level of grappling paired with his elite athleticism and strength.

Longshot Pick

The best part about placing UFC Fight Night prop bets is putting a little bit of money on a longshot pick and hoping it makes you a lot of money by hitting. In MMA, these types of picks are even tougher to pick because literally, anything can happen once the octagon gate is closed.

The longshot pick this weekend is in the main event. We are taking Jailton Almeida to win in the second round via submission at +800. The reasoning behind this pick is that he is going to be too much for Lewis, but Lewis will be able to survive the first 5 minutes.

Lewis is in better shape, more confident, and won’t want his trip to South America to go to waste. This might be coming from having hope for Lewis to show some fight this weekend, but he should have what it takes to survive 5 minutes before he ultimately gets his back taken and choked out.

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