UFC Fight Night is back after a weekend off with another APEX event on the UFC fight schedule. Headlining the main card will be a flyweight matchup between Viviane Araujo (11-3) and Alexa Grasso (14-3).
This will be a classic matchup between two women who have Mexican and Brazilian fighting spirits and will put on a show for the fans. Araujo vs. Grasso betting analysis and predictions are very helpful for your betting experience.
Last Fight Record
Viviane Araujo won her last fight via a unanimous decision over Andrea Lee in May of 2022.
Alexa Grasso is currently on a 3-fight winning streak after beating Joanne Wood impressively via a rear-naked choke.
Matchup Information
- October 15, 2022
- 7 PM ET main card start time
- UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada
- Watch on ESPN+
Araujo vs. Grasso Betting Analysis
Viviane Araujo
Araujo is a 35-year-old Brazilian grappler-turned-MMA fighter with a lot of combat sports experience. She is a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and always looks to take the fight to the ground in the octagon.
Araujo has experience against some of the best flyweights in the world, including Jessica Eye and Katlyn Chookagian, which are her only two losses in the UFC. This fight against Grasso will be another tough test against a world-class striker in the octagon, and she will be prepared for a 25-minute war.
Araujo is no stranger to being the betting underdog in her UFC career. According to past UFC odds, she has been the underdog in 4 of her 8 UFC fights. In her last bout against Andrea Lee, she opened as a +125 underdog and suffered a knockdown in the first round but ended up winning via unanimous decision.
Alexa Grasso
Grasso is a boxer from Mexico that has shaped her fighting game into a great mixed martial artist. She is a purple belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu now and has racked up 17 total pro fights at 29 years old.
After starting her career at strawweight and when her body changed throughout her 20s, she had trouble making weight and has found a new home at flyweight, where she has beaten great fighters like Maycee Barber and Joanne Wood.
Grasso is a legit contender in the flyweight division, and this main event is the perfect opportunity for her to show she is ready for a title fight. She already has a fight-of-the-night performance against strawweight champ Carla Esparza. With her experience, she is the betting favorite for a reason in this bout.
Araujo vs. Grasso Betting Preview
When breaking down Araujo vs. Grasso betting lines and the two fighters, there really aren’t any physical attributes or statistics that stand out. These women are both about the same size, and both can take shots and give shots to their opponents.
The real question is going to be how Grasso handles the grappling attack of Araujo. Grasso showed that she continues to grow her grappling skills with multiple submission attempts in her last few fights.
Also, will these women be ready for 25 minutes? The amount of gas in the tank one of them has might be the deciding factor.
Grasso has 60% takedown defense, and she will be going up against a 60% takedown percentage from Araujo. Grasso will need to weather the storm early, especially when they are both pretty dry and not as sweaty as they will be in the later rounds.
Araujo vs. Grasso Betting Predictions
Araujo vs. Grasso betting picks are tough to make, just like most UFC picks, because of the nature of the sport. It is so unpredictable that it is almost impossible in some matchups.
With this one, in particular, you have to go with the betting favorite, Alexa Grasso. She might lose the first round and maybe even have trouble in the second round, but once Araujo slows down her pressure and their bodies start getting sweaty, it will be tough for Araujo to take Grasso down.
Grasso will start opening up in the later rounds with her kicks to the legs and body, opening up holes to land clean shots on Araujo’s face and start breaking her down. Look for a dominant performance in rounds 3-5, with maybe even a late stoppage from the ref.
This is Grasso’s opportunity to earn a title shot or at least a title-eliminator fight in her next appearance and put on a great performance in a 5-round main event.
How To Bet On Araujo vs. Grasso
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