WNBA

Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky Picks and Predictions

Since the Connecticut Sun won the series opener, the Chicago Sky have won two straight and threatened to clinch a WNBA Finals spot on Connecticut’s home court.

However, the Sky have a 2-1 series lead despite losing the first game of the series. However, Game 4 is in Connecticut at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday.

It was a five-point win for the Sun in Chicago to open the series, but the Sky have since won by eight and four, respectively, in Games 2 and 3, while in Chicago and Connecticut, respectively.

Home Court Advantage

With their backs against the wall and facing an elimination game, the Sun hope to use the home court to their advantage to force a Game 5 in Chicago with a trip to the WNBA Finals on the line.

The Sky are favored by a point on the road while the over/under is set at 161.5. The moneyline favors the Sky at -115 while the Sun are at -105.

Sun vs. Sky Game Betting Picks

Sun vs Sky predictions shows the Sun are likely favorites. Aside from the spread, they’ve won the last two games and were able to hold off a Sun team that went more than 3½ minutes without points in the fourth quarter of Game 3.

Sun Analysis

A season ago, the Connecticut Sun prediction was to win the WNBA Finals after they finished with the league’s best record and had the Most Valuable Player in Jonquel Jones.

It’s slightly different expectations this year as they’ve made it to where they should be against the defending champions.

Third-Best Offensive Team

This season, the Sun were the third-best offensive team, scoring 85.8 points per game, and were second in efficiency at 46.2% from the field and 35.4% from 3-point range.

They were also the top rebounding team at 37.1 per game and limited opponents to 29.0 per contest, also the best mark in the WNBA.

Sun Defense

Defensively, they were second best while holding opponents to 77.8 points per contest. However, opposing teams shot 43.9% from the field, which ranked seventh among defenses. They limited teams on the perimeter to 32.8% from 3-point range, though.

Sky Analysis

The defending WNBA champions have shown their depth throughout their series and season. Candace Parker has been great in the playoffs, but it was Emma Messemann who stood out in the Sky’s 76-72 Game 3 victory with 13 points, ten rebounds, six assists, and five steals, according to Chicago Sky stats. 

Second-best Offense

Chicago had the second-best offense this season, scoring 86.3 points per game. It also was the best team in terms of efficiency, converting 48.1% of field goal attempts. The Sky were seventh, however, on the perimeter, with 34.5% of 3-point attempts falling.

Sky Defense

Defensively, they were fourth, holding teams to 81.3 points per game. The efficiency levels were sixth at 43.8% from the field and 34.0% from the 3-point range, so there was work to do there.

They grabbed 34.8 rebounds per game, also sixth, while holding teams to 33.2 rebounds per game, ranking fifth.

Sun vs. Sky Betting Trends

Sun vs Sky predictions show the Sun are favored 67% against the spread while 67% of bets are also on the over.

Over the last 11 meetings in Connecticut, the Sky are 9-2 against the spread. Over the last nine games, regardless of location, the Sky are 7-2 against the spread. 

Sky Swept the Season Series

This season Sun vs Sky predictions show the Sky swept the season series and two playoff games other than the Sun’s Game 1 win.

Chicago was 5-2 against the spread through seven games in 2022. Meanwhile, the over/under was 3-4 for overs.

Sun vs. Sky Betting Pick and Predictions

The Sky have various ways to beat teams. Five different players have scored in double figures this series, which has been a low-scoring series.

For the season, six Sky players averaged double figures, which shows the different ways teams have to game plan.

For instance, in Game 3, the Sky had a great play set up for reserve Rebekah Gardner, who cut toward the basket and finished for an early layup.

The Sun have to keep their star players on the court, though. That was an issue on Sunday when Jones sat for more than three minutes with foul trouble.

Most Profitable WNBA Team

It was during a stretch where the Sun had been without points for over five minutes, yet it was still a one or two-possession game most of the way. That at least shows that they can stick with the Sky.

The betting pick is Sky -1, closing this series out on the road. The Sky are 5-2 against the spread in the series, including the postseason, while the under is 4-3.

They have experience winning in Connecticut, now winning three games there by four points or less.

WNBA Pick: Sky (-110)

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