WNBA

Dallas Wings vs. Chicago Sky, Betting Analysis and Predictions

The Chicago Sky have been the WNBA’s best team since June 1, and they will look to keep rolling when they host the Dallas Wings. Tip-off is slated for 9 pm (ET) on Tuesday at Wintrust Arena. Check the Wings vs Sky odds below.

Chicago (23-7) sits atop the league standings, one game ahead of Las Vegas. Meanwhile, Dallas (13-16) is battling for its playoff life as they are in sixth place. However, the Wings are just one and one-half games clear of 11th place Atlanta.

Chicago has taken both of the earlier season matchups between the teams. The Sky defeated the Wings (89-81) in Dallas on July 16. Six days later, they earned an 89-83 victory at Wintrust Arena.  

WNBA Scoreboard Record

Dallas, 3-4 since the all-star break, is coming off an 81-69 victory at Atlanta on Saturday as the Wings got a career-best performance from Kayla Thornton as she tossed 21 points on 9 of 11 shooting and 3 of 4 from deep. The Wings also got 21 points along with eight assists from Arike Ogunbowale.  

Chicago picked up a key victory with its 95-92 overtime victory over third-place Connecticut on Sunday as Copper pumped in 27 points while Azura Stevens and Courtney Vandersloot each produced a double-double.

After forcing overtime, the Sky trailed 92-86 with two minutes left, but they scored the game’s final nine points. 

WNBA Betting Analysis

Wings Analysis

Dallas is one of two teams with a better road record (8-7) than at home. While the Wings score slightly more at home (82.3-to-81.6), they have a negative -0.4 points differential in both situations. 

Overall, Dallas ranks in the middle of the league in offensive efficiency; thanks to their ferocity, they hit the offensive glass, despite being one of the worst shooting teams.

Wings’ Stats

The Wings rank 10th in field goal percentage (42.3%), ninth in 3-point percentage (33.6%), and 11th in free throw percentage (77.6%). However, they grab over nine offensive rebounds a game, resulting in 12.3-second chance points.

Wings Defense

Dallas has struggled on the defensive end all season long. The Wings permit over 82.3 points a game on 45.6% from the field, and they don’t rebound the ball well on the defensive end.

On a positive note, they guard the 3-point line well, as opponents make just 6.6 treys a game at a 33.4% clip. 

Sky Analysis

Chicago is a WNBA-best 18-4 since June 1. The Sky are one of two teams to rank in the top 5 in both offensive and defensive efficiency. They go nine deep and are well-balanced offensively.

The Sky averages 86.1 points a game as they are the best shooting team in the league, registering a slash line of .477/ .349/.830.

Sky Defense

Defensively, they allow 80.0 points a game while limiting opponents to 42.5% shooting from the field and 33.6% from the 3-point line. 

Copper leads seven players averaging at least nine points a game. The 6-foot-1 guard has reached double-figures in 12 of her last 14 contests, topping the 20-point mark four times.

  • Candace Parker
  • Emma Meesseman
  • Vandersloot
  • Allie Quigley
  • Stevens

Also average double-figures.

WNBA Updated Injury Report

Parker has missed the Sky’s last three contests due to an illness, but she has a chance to play tonight.

Meanwhile, the Wings have already ruled out Satou Sabally due to an ankle injury though Ogunwale (ankle), their leading scorer at nearly 20 points a game, is probable to play.

Wings vs. Sky Betting Preview

The Wings vs. Sky betting odds lists Chicago as an 8-point favorite after the opening line had them as a 6-point favorite.

The over/under is set at 167. Fifty-six percent of the public money is on the Sky, while 63% of the public’s money backs the over. Several websites have updated WNBA odds and basketball betting information. 

Dallas is 17-11-1 ATS, with 17 of their 29 games going over the point total. Meanwhile, Chicago is 15-14-1 ATS, with 16 of their contests going over the point spread. 

Chicago is 7-3 against Dallas over the last ten games, although they covered the point spread just on five of those occasions. The over has hit in the previous two meetings and seven of the last 10.

Wings vs. Sky Betting Prediction

Our Wings vs. Sky Betting prediction tells us Chicago is the better team here. As good as the Sky have been offensively all season long, they have been better at home than on the road. The Sky are 12-2 at Wintrust Arena.

Sky Expectations

Chicago does not look to launch a lot of threes, which should play to their advantage tonight as Dallas struggles to defend the paint.

Plus, Copper, Meeseman, and Parker should continue to have their way against the Wings both offensively and on the glass. 

Wings Offense

While the Wings will have trouble stopping the Sky offensively, Dallas has enough firepower to keep the game close.

Ogunbowale is an absolute “bucket-getter,” and Thornton has been playing exceptionally well, while Allisha Gray and Marina Mabrey are capable perimeter shooters. 

The Wings have shot 45.5% from the field against the Sky and have done an excellent job of getting to the foul line in the first two games. 

Who to Bet On?

I like Chicago to win the game, but eight points is a lot to give up, as Dallas has been very good on the road.

This is particularly true if Parker is unable to go. However, there is a caveat to this bet if Ogunbowale can’t play. The Wings are 10-4-1 ATS away from home this year.

A $25 bet on the Wings to cover at (-105) odds will get bettors a profit of $ 23.51. Also, if you like the over here, a $10 bet (-112 odds) will bring a profit of $8.93.   

WNBA Pick: Wings +8 (-110)

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