Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun Betting Analysis and Prediction

We have a big matchup happening on Thursday afternoon at the Mohegan Sun Arena as the Phoenix Mercury, and the Connecticut Sun square off against one another for the final time in the regular season.

For those looking to bet this game, it’s important to read out Mercury vs. Sun Series Betting Analysis before laying down wagers. 

The Mercury have won each of the first two games of this season series and are looking to sweep the three-game season series.

Phoenix is currently on the outside looking in as they are ninth in the WNBA with a 13-18 record, while Connecticut is third in the WNBA with a 21-10 record and two games behind the Chicago Sky for the best record in the sport. 

WNBA Scoreboard Record

The Connecticut Sun dominated on Tuesday against the Phoenix Mercury as the Sun picked up a dominant 87-63 win behind power forward Alyssa Thompson recording a triple-double with 10 points, 12 rebounds, ten assists, and a steal.

As a team, the Sun were 7-for-20 (35 percent) from three while Mercury was just 6-for-27 (22.2 percent) from beyond the arc.  

Mercury vs. Sun Betting Analysis

With these teams already playing twice, it is difficult to figure things out. The Sun dominated and covered a 10-point spread in Tuesday’s matchup. 

The two teams had the under hit in seven of their last ten meetings, but one thing to look at is the fact that the Mercury have only covered the spread once in their previous five games against the Sun. 

Phoenix Mercury Analysis

The Phoenix Mercury have been a good offensive team as they are currently fifth in the WNBA with 82.3 points per game so far.

A huge reason is a fact they are fourth in the sport at knocking down their free throws, as they are hitting them at an 81.4 percent clip so far. 

Mercury’s Defense

Defensively, they are leading the sport with 4.7 blocks per game. The team is led by guard Skylar Diggins-Smith, who is fourth in the WNBA in points per game as she is averaging 19.8 points, 4.2 rebounds, 5.7 assists, 1.6 steals, and 0.9 blocks per game.

She’s shooting the ball better than her career averages, so it will be interesting to see if she can step up and lead Phoenix to a win. 

Sun Analysis

The Connecticut Sun have been doing extremely well on the offensive side of the court as they are scoring 85.2 points per game so far.

They are getting good looks at the basket as their 46 percent shooting from the floor is second in the WNBA. 

Sun’s Defense

Defensively, they are grabbing 36.4 rebounds per game, which is one shy of the WNBA lead, while leading with 8.8 steals per game as a team.

Forward Alyssa Thomas has been leading the team as she is averaging 13.4 points, 8.2 rebounds, 6.2 assists, and 1.7 steals while shooting 48.8 percent of the floor while having a slight career year so far.

WNBA Injury Report

This game feels to be a huge game for the Phoenix Mercury as they are on the outside of the playoff picture if the season ended today and have five games remaining in the regular season.

The Sun are doing extremely well and trying to continue their climb up the standings against a lesser team.

Mercury vs. Sun Betting Preview

Looking at the consensus WNBA betting odds for this game, the Sun are sitting as an 11.5-point favorite up to this point.

This feels like a one-sided game, and on the moneyline as Connecticut has -750 odds to win while Phoenix is a massive underdog at +525.

Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun Betting Prediction

The Phoenix Mercury are struggling to defend as they allowed seven different players to score at least 10 points in the game on Tuesday. Overall, the Sun are red-hot with a 5-1 record in their last six games and finishing off strong. 

These teams do not match up well against each other, as we have seen in the past. All in all, go with the Connecticut Sun to continue mowing down the weaker competition and cover a massive -12 point spread in this game at home. 

WNBA Pick: Sun -12 (-110)

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