Brahmas Hold Secret to Beating UFL’s Best
Birmingham, favored since the start of the preseason, is seeking to cash in its big expectations with a UFL title. The Stallions, who won USFL championships in 2022 and 2023, posted the league’s best record at 9-1 and ranked top-2 in both total offense and total defense. As such, they’re a popular bet on the UFL Finals and are favored at -3 on the point spread.
Coached by Skip Holtz, the Stallions had five double-digit wins and seven victories of at least seven points.
Coincidentally, San Antonio handed Birmingham its only loss (18-9 in Week 9). The Brahmas, who opened as the UFL’s biggest longshot at +1400 title odds, went 7-3.
Led by longtime NFL defensive coordinator/head coach Wade Phillips, who last season guided the XFL’s Roughnecks to a division championship, San Antonio allowed a UFL-low 15.3 points per game.
Looking to bet on the UFL Finals? Check out our odds breakdown and picks.
Betting Picks & Game Details
Birmingham Stallions vs San Antonio Brahmas Information
Birmingham Stallions (10-1) vs San Antonio Brahmas (8-3)
Location of the game: The Dome at America’s Center; St. Louis
Date & Time: Sunday, June 16, 5 p.m. ET
Where to Watch: Fox
Stallions vs Brahmas Picks

- Pick: Stallions: -3
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Stallions vs Brahmas Betting Analysis
The Stallions have been favored practically all season, so no reason should change here. Despite losing in Week 9 to San Antonio, the Stallions are the UFL’s team to beat.
Birmingham looked vulnerable in the USFL Conference Championship, falling behind Michigan 18-3 in the first half before ripping off 30 unanswered points. But it deserves the benefit of the doubt, especially at a neutral-site location.
That shouldn’t bother San Antonio, which has relished being overlooked. The Brahmas’ UFL betting odds finally dipped below +700 before the playoffs.
Before our Stallions betting analysis and Brahmas game predictions, let’s have a look at the updated UFL odds:
1Spread:
Stallions -3 (-115)
Brahmas +3 (-105)
2Total:
Over 41.5 (-112)
Under 41.5 (-108)
3Moneyline:
Stallions -180
Brahmas +150
Stallions vs Brahmas Betting Preview & Updates
Adrian Martinez is expected to start at quarterback for Birmingham, though the newly minted UFL MVP may share reps for the second straight week. Holtz certainly didn’t dismiss the possibility after benching Martinez in favor of Matt Corral last week.
Corral, the former Ole Miss star, threw for 120 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception on 9 of 11 passing in the come-from-behind win.
“Right now, Adrian is our quarterback,” Holtz told reporters this week via Sports Illustrated. “But I don’t hesitate to play two, just like I did at the beginning of the season.”
San Antonio will continue to ride its defense, along with an underrated running game. The Brahmas ran for 213 yards in the XFL Conference Championship against St. Louis, with Anthony McFarland (115 yards, 1 TD) and John Lovett (83 yards) accounting for the bulk of the production.
That’s important to remember when assessing our pro football expert picks.
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Stallions vs Brahmas Recent Scores
San Antonio kept Martinez in check in Week 9, sacking him three times and holding the Stallions to 278 total yards. The Stallions, 8.5-point favorites, also turned it over once.
Nine points were easily a season-low for Birmingham, which led the league in scoring at 26.5 points per game. The Stallions had at least 20 points in every other game.
Birmingham Stallions Last 6
- May 4, 2024: 39-21 win at Memphis Showboats
- May 11, 2024: 30-26 win over St. Louis Battlehawks
- May 18, 2024: 35-28 win over Houston Roughnecks
- May 25, 2024: 18-9 loss at San Antonio Brahmas
- June 1, 2024: 20-19 win over Michigan Panthers
- June 8, 2024: 31-18 win over Michigan Panthers
San Antonio Brahmas Last 6
- May 5, 2024: 18-12 loss at D.C. Defenders
- May 12, 2024: 15-12 win at Houston Roughnecks
- May 19, 2024: 20-15 win over Arlington Renegades
- May 25, 2024: 18-9 win over Birmingham Stallions
- June 1, 2024: 13-12 loss at St. Louis Battlehawks
- June 9, 2024: 25-15 win at St. Louis Battlehawks
Stallions Analysis: More Musical Chairs at Quarterback?
Key Injuries: K Chris Blewitt (Questionable), RB Larry Rountree III (Questionable)
Martinez has been a big-time playmaker, throwing for 1,749 yards and 15 touchdowns and rushing for a UFL-best 528 yards. The former Nebraska and Kansas State star’s ability to break down defenses with his mobility is a significant factor in the Stallions’ success.
That’s important to remember before placing a bet on the UFL Finals.
Brahmas Analysis: Another Defensive Masterpiece in Order?
Key Injuries: WR Laden Akers (Out, Suspension), WR Cody Latimer (Out), WR Kade Warner (Questionable)
San Antonio hasn’t allowed more than 19 points since a 31-24 loss to St. Louis in Week 3. Last week, St. Louis, the league’s No. 2 scoring offense, managed only 239 yards. The Battlehawks were only 2 of 11 on third downs and averaged a measly 4.3 yards per play.
Stallions vs. Brahmas Betting Prediction
Birmingham, the UFL’s best team, is primed to finish what it started. While San Antonio has already beaten the Stallions once this season, Holtz’s team has the playmakers he needs to finish the job once more.
After winning back-to-back USFL titles, the Stallions add another trophy to their collection this weekend. We’re taking Birmingham to cover as 3-point favorites in the inaugural UFL Championship Game.
Bettors can take that into account before they bet on the UFL Finals.
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