New England Patriots vs. Cleveland Browns

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Patriots vs. Browns Odds and Betting Analysis

Following a NFL Week 5 game against the Lions, the NFL schedule has the Patriots making a trip to Cleveland to take on the Browns.

Patriots vs. Browns Betting Preview

There is no single factor in making your Patriots vs. Browns betting analysis on NFL week 6. With Deshaun Watson out, the Browns turn to their backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett, but he’s an experienced quarterback.

In fact, Brissett has made twice as many career starts as New England quarterback Mac Jones, so he won’t be an easy win for the Patriots, no matter what the Patriots vs. Browns betting odds say when this game kicks off.

Rivalry History

This isn’t a natural rivalry between two NFL teams. The teams don’t share a region or division, and rarely have they battled it out in the NFL standings. The one year in the last 20 that the Browns won a playoff game, the Patriots missed the playoffs.

Overall the series between the two teams is tied, with 13 wins apiece. But New England has won the last four meetings and eight of the last nine, which dates back to 2001, the beginning of the Tom Brady era.

Matchup Trends

The NFL player stats should be your guide when doing your Patriots vs. Browns betting analysis. The Browns have one of the best running games in the NFL, with Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt leading the way. 

But New England isn’t a pushover on defense. In 2021 they gave up the second-fewest points allowed and third-fewest touchdowns.

The early Patriots at Browns betting odds have Cleveland as a slight favorite, but keep in mind that last season the Browns were just 7-10 on NFL picks against the spread, while the Patriots finished the regular season at 10-7.

The NFL odds think the Browns are the more likely Super Bowl team, paying +2500 for Super Bowl NFL picks, compared to +4000 for the Patriots. But a closer look at the Patriots vs. Browns betting odds should factor in the expected win total of each time. Both the Browns and Patriots are listed at 8.5 wins for 2022.

Venue Information

The Browns play their home games at FirstEnergy Stadium, which opened in 1999 when the Browns returned to the NFL after a four-year absence.

The stadium is located on the site of the old Cleveland Municipal Stadium, where the Browns won their last NFL Championship in 1964. The new stadium is next to the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and has a seating capacity of over 67,000.

Betting Tips for Patriots vs. Browns

The most valuable Patriots at Browns betting analysis will come from how they do against common opponents. New England plays at the Steelers in Week 2, and the Browns host the Steelers in Week 3.

The Steelers play a run-first, short-passing offense, which will be similar to both the offenses run by the Patriots and Browns. So whichever team does better in slowing the Steelers could prove to have the advantage when they meet head-to-head in Week 5.

Another thing to keep in mind for this NFL matchup, as well as others, is that in recent years home field advantage has been exaggerated.

 Conventional wisdom says it’s three points, but in reality, the NFL stats say it only comes out to a little over 1.5 points. So take a close look at the Patriots vs. Browns betting odds before the start of this game, and don’t get too caught up in the Browns being the home team.

However, a very important thing to note in the Patriots at Browns betting analysis is that New England was 3-2 last season against the spread as the underdog. Cleveland, as the favorite, was just 2-7c

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