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Thanksgiving night, after the Lions and Cowboys host their traditional holiday games, it’s the New England Patriots at the Minnesota Vikings.
Patriots vs Vikings Betting Preview
Since the NFL schedule added a third game to Thanksgiving in 2006, the holiday has been a wall-to-wall feast of turkey and football. While the Lions and Cowboys always get two of the games, the third game is typically one of the better NFL matchups of the week.
That is definitely the case this year, with the NFL odds calling for this game to come down to the wire. The opening point spread was 2.5 points, and a look at the Patriots vs Vikings stats shows us just how evenly matched these two teams are.
Rivalry History
There isn’t a regional or conference rivalry, and the teams have only played 13 times in their history. The Patriots lead the all-time series 9-4-0.
The New England Patriots have won the last five games in the series, all with Tom Brady as their quarterback. This will be the first time quarterback Mac Jones gets to try and continue the winning streak.
The last time Minnesota beat New England was in 2000, when Daunte Culpepper beat Drew Bledsoe, 21-13.
Matchup Trends
This game is about the weapons of the Vikings and how healthy they are going into a short week of football. It’s also about the preparation for a game in just three days. The final Patriots vs Vikings odds should reflect that one of the very best coaches in NFL history, Bill Belichick, is going against a rookie head coach in Kevin O’Connell.
The short rest advantage goes to Belichick.
The Patriots vs Vikings stats, however, give the advantage to Minnesota and head coach O’Connell. At least on offense. In 2021 the Minnesota Vikings ranked 12th in the NFL in yards gained, but only 31st on defense. New England was 15th in yards gained, but fourth on defense.
Venue Information
The Vikings play their home games at U.S. Bank Stadium, which was opened in downtown Minneapolis in 2016.
Vikings ownership originally asked for a new outdoor stadium, but local governments would only provide funding for an indoor facility that could also host major events like the NCAA Final Four and the Super Bowl. U.S. Bank Stadium did host the Final Four in 2019, and Super Bowl LII in 2018, when the Eagles beat the Patriots 41-33.
Heading into this season the Vikings are 32-17 at U.S. Bank Stadium, which includes a 1-0 record in the playoffs. That last-second playoff win over the Saints is known as the Minneapolis Miracle.
Betting Tips for New England Patriots at Minnesota Vikings
The NFL matchup inside the game that needs to be watched the closest is Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson vs. the Patriots secondary, now that they are playing this season without their top corner, J.C. Jackson.
It will be a key Patriots vs. Vikings stat, how Jefferson, Adam Thielen, and Dalvin Cook do against a very good New England defense.
As you watch second-year quarterback Mac Jones lead his team, follow his continued development. Last year as an NFL pick against the spread the Patriots were 10-7 in the regular season. And if Jones continues to grow as a quarterback, the Patriots vs. Vikings odds could prove to be good value on the underdog.
Minnesota, which entered last season with higher expectations than New England, finished the season 9-8 against the spread.
It’s a new coaching staff for the Vikings, and a new offense for quarterback Kirk Cousins. How he ranks on the NFL stats board will be interesting to see.
