The first cycling Grand Tour of the 2023 season gets underway on Saturday, May 6, so now is as good of a time as any for Giro D’Italia predictions.
The 2023 Giro D’Italia is the 106th edition of the three-week race, which begins in Ortona with an individual time trial on May 6 and concludes on May 28 in Rome. Six of the grueling 21 stages are longer than 200 kilometers, and there are only two rest days.
The 2023 Giro D’Italia – May 6-28
Outright Betting Odds
Cyclist | Odds |
Remco Evenepoel | -135 |
Primoz Roglic | +200 |
Geraint Thomas | +1000 |
Tao Geoghegan Hart | +1200 |
Joao Almeida | +1400 |
Alexander Vlasov | +1600 |
Jay Vine | +3000 |
Jack Haig | +3000 |
Lennard Kamna | +5000 |
Hugh Carthy | +5000 |
Last Year’s Podium Finishers Absent from the Event
Jai Hindley became the first Australian rider to win the Giro D’Italia predictions event in 2022, but those interested in cycling betting should know that he has decided against participating in this year’s event to instead focus on the Tour de France.
Richard Carapaz and Mikel Landa, who finished second and third, respectively, in last year’s Giro D’Italia predictions are also absent.
Egan Bernal, the winner of the 2021 Giro D’Italia picks, is also absent from this year’s field. Tao Geoghegan Hart (+1200) is the only former champion competing.
A Two-Cyclist Race
Without the three podium finishers from last year’s event, it’s essentially a two-cyclist race in 2023, at least if you believe oddsmakers. Remco Evenepoel, a popular bet on entertainment pick from Belgium, won the Vuelta a España and the UCI World Road Race Championships in 2022 and is poised for a big year in 2023. He’s coming off a second consecutive Liege-Bastogne-Liege title win in April.
Primoz Roglic, a three-time individual stage winner at both the Tour de France and Giro D’Italia picks, is 10 years older than Evenepoel and coming off of shoulder surgery, but has nonetheless impressed early this season. He won at Tirreno-Adriatico and Catalunya and is arguably the most accomplished rider in the field.
Why You Should Fade Thomas
Veteran Welsh rider Geraint Thomas has the third-shortest odds to win Giro D’Italia and has plenty of motivation – he recorded DNFs in his last two starts in 2020 and 2017 – but at 37 years old, may have trouble keeping up with younger riders, despite showcasing his ability with a third-place result in last year’s Tour de France.
Moreover, Thomas’ race calendar this year has been disrupted by illness. He’s healthy heading into this weekend, but shouldn’t be expected to keep up with the two favorites.
“I think it is complicated that Thomas will be battling for the Giro d’Italia with Primoz Roglic and Remco Evenepoel,” cautioned Eurosport’s Alberto Contador. “Two riders that are peaking right now, that seem to be flying and winning in most races they take part in. It’s tough for me to see Thomas at that same level.”
A Look at Stage 1 – The First of 3 Time Trials
Stage 1 Winner Odds
Cyclist | Odds |
Filippo Ganna | +115 |
Remco Evenepoel | +160 |
Primoz Roglic | +850 |
Stefan Kung | +1000 |
Josef Cerny | +2000 |
Lennard Kamna | +2200 |
Geraint Thomas | +2500 |
Edoardo Affini | +3500 |
Mads Pedersen | +5000 |
Thymen Arensman | +6500 |
Why Ganna is the Favorite
Filippo Ganna isn’t expected to win the Giro D’Italia. In fact, he has only +2200 odds for a top-10 finish and +8000 odds to win the points classification, but he’s a time trial specialist, having won several events in the past.
He has won six stages in his last two Giro D’Italia, and all were in individual time trial events. He’s a three-time Italian National Championship time trial winner, but his best-ever national finish in the road race is 38th.
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