- England lost in the EURO 2020 final against Italy on penalties
- Three Lions landed a famous 2-1 away win over Italy earlier in the group stage campaign
- Italy could yet top Group C, but they’ll need a victory at Wembley to stand a chance of achieving that feat
We are at the business end of the EURO qualification, and the two sides that occupy the top two spots in Group C will lock horns at the Home of Football on Tuesday. England will secure their place at EURO 2024 with a victory at Wembley, while Italy could force the Three Lions to wait a while longer to secure their berth.
England vs Italy Picks

Pick the England spread at -1 (+107)
You can find the latest UEFA European Championship picks and the England vs Italy odds here.
England vs. Italy Odds
Team | Handicap | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
England | -½, -1 -114 | -147 | o 2½ +115 |
Italy | +½, +1 -115 | +420 | u 2½ -114 |
Draw | +280 |
The UEFA European Championship odds show England as the odds-on favorites to land victory at Wembley on Tuesday. Italy is the outside selection at +465, while the draw could be an interesting selection at +285.
England vs. Italy Information
England vs. Italy
Location of the Game: Wembley Stadium, London, England
Date and Time: Tuesday, October 17, 2023. 2:45 PM ET
How to Watch: ESPN
England vs. Italy Analysis
England Preview
There is a growing belief that England are the nation to beat the EUROs next summer, with Gareth Southgate’s side promising to fulfill the potential that they have shown at the last three major tournaments.
The Three Lions have responded in excellent style since crashing out in the last eight at the World Cup last year by winning four of their five Group C qualifiers.
However, England were held in their most recent qualifier by Ukraine. But, they have bounced back from that setback by landing back-to-back friendly wins against Scotland and Australia. Southgate is likely to make eleven changes from England’s recent 1-0 win over the Aussies, with Harry Kane, Jude Bellingham, and Phil Foden among those likely to be recalled.
Projected Lineup
- Pickford
- Walker
- Stones
- Maguire
- Trippier
- Rice
- Phillips
- Foden
- Bellingham
- Rashford
- Kane
Injuries
- The key absence for England on Tuesday comes in the form of Bukayo Saka, who will be absent after picking up a knock for Arsenal in the Premier League against Manchester City.
Italy Preview
England’s place at the EUROs still looks safe regardless of the result on Tuesday, but Italy are still involved in a scrap for second spot. The Italians sit second, but they are level on points with Ukraine, with the two nations set to square off in the final Group C match on the UEFA European Championship schedule next month.
Italy have bounced back following defeat against England on matchday one, as they have won three of their last four. However, it remains to be seen how competitive this Italian side will be after the sudden departure of Roberto Mancini last month.
Projected Lineup
- Donnarumma
- Di Lorenzo
- Bastoni
- Mancini
- Dimarco
- Locatelli
- Barella
- Bonaventura
- Berardi
- Scamacca
- Raspadori
Injuries
- Luciano Spalletti has no fresh injury concerns following a 4-0 win over Malta. However, Sandro Tonali has been forced to pull out of the squad as he assists a police investigation into alleged illegal betting.
England vs. Italy Pick and Prediction
The England vs Italy odds show that a home win looks like the most likely outcome on Tuesday, and the recent soccer stats support that. England have been in excellent form throughout qualification, and we could see Southgate’s side putting on a show for the home fans.
Therefore, a chance on the England vs Italy odds will be taken on the hosts on the spread.
- Pick: England (-1) (+107)
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