Pick Analysis
The 2024 Copa America kicks off next Thursday June 20th as defending champions Argentina take on Canada. With six CONCACAF teams joining the ten CONMEBOL member teams, this is a special edition of the Copa America. Last time around, Lionel Messi and Luis Diaz led the field with four goals but we think it’s Darwin Nuñez’s time to shine this time around.
Copa America 2024 Information
Copa America 2024
Location: 14 venues across USA. Final at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Dates: Starts June 20th, Ends July 14th
Where to watch: FS1, TUDN, FOX, Univision
Previous Tournament: Argentina defeated Brazil 1-0 in 2021 Final
Copa America Golden Boot Pick
- Pick: Darwin Nuñez to Win Golden Boot (+600)
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Odds to win Copa America Golden Boot
Player | Odds to Win Golden Boot |
---|---|
Lionel Messi (Argentina) | +300 |
Vinicius Junior (Brazi) | +400 |
Julian Alvarez (Argentina) | +600 |
Darwin Nuñez (Uruguay) | +600 |
Rodrygo (Brazil) | +800 |
Lautaro Martínez (Argentina) | +800 |
Gabriel Martinelli (Brazil) | +1100 |
Endrick (Brazil) | +2000 |
Facundo Pellistri (Uruguay) | +2500 |
Raphinha (Brazil) | +2500 |
Luis Suarez (Uruguay) | +2800 |
Brian Rodriguez (Uruguay) | +4000 |
Enner Valencia (Ecuador) | +4000 |
Santiago Gimenez (Mexico) | +4000 |
Luis Diaz (Colombia) | +4000 |
Christian Pulisic (USA) | +4000 |
Timothy Weah (USA) | +5000 |
Eduardo Vargas (Chile) | +5000 |
Jordy Caicedo (Ecuador) | +6600 |
Federico Valverde (Uruguay) | +6600 |
Hirving Lozano (Mexico) | +8000 |
Gianluca Lapadula (Peru) | +8000 |
Jhon Cordoba (Colombia) | +8000 |
Alexis Sanchez (Chile) | +8000 |
Tajon Buchanan (Canada) | +8000 |
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Copa America Golden Boot Betting Analysis
In each of the eight Copa America tournaments held in the 21st century, the Golden Boot winner has hailed from a team that reached the Semifinals or Final. When it comes to Copa America Golden Boot betting, punters should choose a candidate from a strong team.
Lionel Messi (+300) is a popular pick, as his Argentina are defending Copa America and World Cup champions. There are a lot of mouths to feed on this Argentina team, as Julian Alvarez (+600) and Lautaro Martinez (+800) are other Golden Boot candidates.
Vinicius Junior (+400) may be the most electric player at the Copa America. However, Brazil’s pre-tournament form has been concerning. Plus, Brazil will share the goals among Vini, Rodrygo (+800), Gabriel Martinelli (+1100), Endrick (+2000) and Raphinha (+2500).
That leaves Uruguay’s Darwin Nuñez (+600) as an intriguing pick. In a Group with Bolivia, Panama and the USA, Uruguay should finish in first place in the Copa America standings. Uruguay show the third-best soccer odds to win the tournament, at +500.
Bettors may be tempted by the likes of Christian Pulisic (USA) and Santiago Gimenez (Mexico), who are both listed at +4000. The USA simply don’t look strong enough to compete with South America’s best teams. They fell 5-1 to Colombia in a friendly last Saturday. Mexico has also been on the decline over the last few years and their roster isn’t particularly strong here either.
Among the longshots, Luis Diaz (+4000) appears to be the best pick, as he went toe-to-toe with Messi last time. Chile’s Eduardo Vargas (+5000) is a two-time Copa America Golden Boot winner but he is past his best. Peru’s Gianluca Lapadula (+8000) scored three goals at the last Copa America but he and Peru have struggled over the last few years.
Copa America Previous Winners and Betting Trends
Argentina’s Lionel Messi and Colombia’s Luis Diaz both scored four goals at the Copa America three Summers ago. However, Messi won the Golden Boot because the first tiebreaker is assists. So, bettors may need to factor soccer stats other than goals into their calculus for a Golden Boot pick.
Should a player score six goals, that has been enough to secure the Golden Boot in 20 of the last 21 Copa Americas. Also, the second tiebreaker after assists is the fewest minutes played.
Copa America Golden Boot Betting Pick
Darwin Nuñez leads CONMEBOL World Cup qualifiers with five goals for a red-hot Uruguay team. The striker has been inconsistent for Liverpool but has scored in each of his last five starts for Uruguay.
Nuñez scored a hat trick in a 4-0 win over Mexico last Wednesday and he’s our Copa America Golden Boot betting pick. Don’t forget to keep checking our top soccer picks everyday!
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