It has been relatively easy to make 2024 Australian Open predictions through the first week of the tournament as seven of the top-10 seeds, including all top five-ranked players, are through to the quarter-finals. In arguably the highest-profile match of the quarter-finals, second seed Carlos Alcaraz takes on sixth seed Alexander Zverev with the winner advancing to the semi-final to face either Hubert Hurkacz or Daniil Medvedev. Alcaraz has never been past the quarter-finals in Australia, while Zverev reached the semi-finals in 2020.
Zverev vs. Alcaraz Picks
- Pick: Over 37.5 (-110)
Let’s check out the tennis odds for the match and dive into the Zverev vs Alcaraz betting analysis.
Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz Information
Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz
Location of the game: Rod Laver Arena in Melbourne, Australia
Date & Time: Tuesday, January 23 at TBD
How to Watch: ESPN and TSN (Canada)
Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz Recent Scores
Zverev punched his ticket into the quarter-finals in an instant classic against Cameron Norrie in the Round of 16, winning the match 7-5, 3-6, 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 (3). He had 15 aces, won 76 percent of points on first serve (and just 32 percent on second serve), and was 4-of-14 on breakpoint opportunities. He also needed five sets to win his Round of 64 match against Lukas Klein. Zverev also beat Alex Michelsen and Dominik Koepfer in three and four sets, respectively.
Alcaraz has had a much easier path to the quarter-finals. The former world No. 1 and two-time grand slam winner has lost just one set and is coming off of a 6-4, 6-4, 6-0 win over Miomir Kecmanovic in the Round of 16. He had five aces, no double faults, and won 83 percent of points on second serve. His other tennis stats included winning 64 percent of points on second serve and winning 5-of-9 breakpoint chances.
Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz Betting Analysis
Zverev Chasing First Grand Slam Title
It’s worth noting for the Zverev vs. Alcaraz betting analysis that the 26-year-old German, while an Olympic gold medalist and two-time ATP Finals champion, has yet to win a grand slam. He has only once been to a grand slam final, losing to Dominic Thiem in the 2020 U.S. Open. Zverev reached the semi-finals in the 2020 Australian Open, where he also lost to Thiem.
Zverev is 57-23 overall in the last 52 weeks, including 32-14 on hard courts. He won two titles last season. He was 1-2 in three matches against Alcaraz in 2023, most recently beating him in the Nitto ATP Finals. He lost to the Spaniard, however, in the U.S. Open quarter-finals and Round of 16 at the Mutua Madrid Open.
Alcaraz into His First Australian Open Quarter-Final
For all of his success in recent years, it’s a bit hard to believe that Alcaraz is into the quarter-finals at the Australian Open for the first time and has the second-shortest tennis odds to win the tournament. He has had success in each of the other three major tennis events, winning Wimbledon and the U.S. Open, while reaching the semi-finals at the French Open. Alcaraz, however, missed the 2023 Australian Open due to injury and was out in the third round in 2022.
Alcaraz ended 2023 with a disappointing showing in the Nitto ATP Finals but is looking rejuvenated in Australia. He’s 6-4 in his last 10 matches and 69-12 over the last 52 weeks, including 32-9 on hard courts. He is 3-4 in seven career matches against Zverev and has been on court four hours fewer than the German, which could be a critical factor in the Zverev vs. Alcaraz betting analysis.
Updates
Both players are healthy without any injury concerns.
Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz Betting Preview
Zverev is a +340 betting underdog in the Zverev vs. Alcaraz betting analysis, while Alcaraz has moneyline odds of -550. Other tennis odds include Zverev +5.5 (-120) for the match handicap and 37.5 total games.
Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz Betting Prediction
Alcaraz’s conditioning – and the fact he has been on the court four hours fewer than Zverev – should help him advance to his first Australian Open semi-final. Zverev should take a set, however, so the over is another solid betting option.
- Pick: Over 37.5 (-110)
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