The 2024 Italian Open, an outdoor clay court tournament taking place in Rome, Italy, is one of nine ATP Masters 1000 tennis events this season. The 96-player tournament began with qualification earlier this week, with several second-round matches set as of Thursday. In one of those matches, eighth seed Grigor Dimitrov, one of the top-32 seeds to receive a bye into the second round, takes on world No. 80 Yoshihito Nishioka.
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Game Details and Betting Picks
Grigor Dimitrov vs Yoshihito Nishioka Information
Grigor Dimitrov vs Yoshihito Nishioka
Location of the game: Foro Italico in Rome, Italy
Date & Time: Friday, May 10 at TBD
Where to Watch: ESPN+ and Tennis TV
Dimitrov vs Nishioka Picks

- Tennis Pick: Over 19.5 (-115)
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This is the third meeting between the two players on the ATP Tour and the first since 2020 when, coincidentally, Dimitrov beat Nishioka in straight sets at the Italian Open. Here’s a look at the Dimitrov vs Nishioka betting predictions for their upcoming match.
Grigor Dimitrov vs Yoshihito Nishioka Odds
Player | Odds | Total |
---|---|---|
Dimitrov | -850 | -19.5 |
Nishioka | +450 | +19.5 |
Dimitrov, as expected, is a major betting favorite in the Dimitrov vs Nishioka betting predictions. He has tennis odds of -850 to win the match, while Nishioka is a +450 underdog. Other markets include total games at 19.5, with over and under odds each at -115, and Dimitrov to win in straight sets (-225).
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Grigor Dimitrov vs Yoshihito Nishioka Analysis
Dimitrov Performance Recap and Analysis
Dimitrov received a bye into the second round so he has yet to play in the Italian Open. He’s 22-7 this season and broke into the top-10 in the world rankings for the first time in 10 years. That’s because of his impressive results early in the season. He reached the finals at the Brisbane International, Open 13 Provence, and Miami Open. He was runner-up in each of those events.
Dimitrov’s play has regressed a bit since reaching the finals in Miami. He’s 2-2 since then and coming off of a tough three-set loss in the Round of 64 at the Mutua Madrid Open. Fortunately, for the Dimitrov betting pick, he is 2-0 in his career against Nishioka, winning both matches in straight sets.
Key Injuries
Dimitrov hasn’t had any injury concerns this year and should be healthy heading into the Dimitrov vs. Nishioka betting prediction.
Betting Trends to Know
- Dimitrov won both matches in the Nishioka betting odds in straight sets with both under the 19.5 total for their Italian Open match.
- Dimitrov is 2-2 on clay this year and was 10-5 last year.
Nishioka Performance Recap and Analysis
Nishioka earned a spot in the second round of the Italian Open with an upset 6-3, 2-6, 7-6 (4) win over Sebastian Ofner in the first round. His tennis stats for the match included one ace, one double fault, winning 66 and 65 percent of points on first and second serve, and winning 2-of-5 breakpoint opportunities.
The 28-year-old Japanese veteran is 9-11 this season. It’s one of his worst years by record since he went 19-26 in 2021. Nishioka, a former world No. 24, was 44-25 in 2022 and 23-22 last year.
Key Injuries
Nishioka also doesn’t have any injury concerns heading into his Round of 64 match against Dimitrov.
Betting Trends to Know
- Nishioka is 0-2 in two career matches against Dimitrov and 4-3 on clay this season.
- He was 5-5 on clay in 2023.
Grigor Dimitrov vs Yoshihito Nishioka Betting Picks
- Moneyline: Dimitrov shouldn’t have much problem beating Nishioka considering his resurgence this year. He’s also the superior clay court player, although at -850 his moneyline odds aren’t all that enticing.
- Spread: Dimitrov is a -5.5 games favorite against Nishioka. He may have covered this in his last match against Nishioka, but that’s a big number to cover. Nishioka at +5.5 (-110) is the safer bet.
- Over/Under: Nishioka should have something to prove here after only winning one game in his last meeting against Dimitrov. Take the over 19.5 total.
Grigor Dimitrov vs Yoshihito Nishioka Prediction
In the upcoming tennis match between Grigor Dimitrov and Yoshihito Nishioka, the prediction suggests betting on the total game count to exceed 19.5, with odds at -115.
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