All of the warning signs about the Dallas Mavericks have reared their ugly heads in the Western Conference Finals against the Golden State Warriors. With most of the Warriors’ energy focused on defending Luka Doncic, Dallas’ support cast hasn’t been able to carry the water. The Mavericks face an impossible task: rally from a 3-0 deficit to win the series, which no NBA team has ever done.
The better question for this series for those trying to determine how to bet on NBA games is how many games will Golden State take? While Dallas hasn’t been close to winning any of the games in this series, the Mavericks haven’t been rolling over either. Trying to be prideful and win a game or two will be important for a Dallas team that hopes to build off this season moving forward.
Last games records
Golden State beat Dallas 109-100 May 22 in Dallas. The Warriors lead the series between the two teams, 3-0.
Matchup information
Warriors at Mavericks Betting Analysis
Golden State Analysis
By beating Dallas in Game 3, Golden State has won a road playoff game in 25 straight series, which extends the franchise’s own NBA record. The Warriors were able to neutralize Dallas on its own floor by pounding the glass.
Golden State grabbed 14 offensive rebounds and held a 47-33 overall edge in rebounding. The Warriors back that up with a good offensive showing. Golden State shot 46.9 percent from the field and 88 percent from the free-throw line. Betting stats NBA show the Warriors were still below their usual standard from the perimeter, only making 34.9 percent of their treys.
Steph Curry finished with a double-double by recording a team-high switch 31 points and 11 rebounds. Andrew Wiggins also impressed for the Warriors, finishing with 27 points and 11 rebounds.
Dallas Analysis
Game 3 will be a game Dallas fans want to quickly forget. The Mavericks only trailed by one at halftime but were outscored by nine points in the third quarter allowing Golden State to pull away. What killed the Mavericks was their outside shooting.
Dallas only shot 28.9 percent from the 3-point line and saw a few players struggle in a big way. Reggie Bullock was the face of the Mavericks’ offensive struggles. One game after scoring 21 points, Bullock missed all 10 of his shots during the loss. Outside of Doncic, Spencer Dinwiddie and Jalen Brunson, Dallas didn’t get much scoring.
That trio combined for 86 of the Mavericks’ 100 points, including a game-high 40 for Doncic. Dallas will be desperate to see contributors step up.
Updates
Warriors forward Otto Porter Jr. is doubtful for Game 4 with a foot injury. Dallas doesn’t have any injuries of note.
- The over has gone 12-35-1 in Dallas’ home games this season.
- Golden State is 49-43-4 against the spread.
- The over has gone 37-59-2 in the Mavericks’ games this season.
- Dallas is 56-40-2 against the spread.
- The over has gone 43-51-2 in the Warriors’ games this season.
- The over has gone 28-33-2 following games Golden State has won this season.
Warriors at Mavericks Betting Preview
NBA betting odds have Dallas as 1-point favorites. The Mavericks are -114 on the moneyline, while the Warriors are -106. Anyone making NBA picks can also bet on the over/under, which is set at 215.5.
Warriors at Mavericks Betting Prediction
It’s hard to like Dallas in this spot. While the Mavericks do have home-court advantage and have had a few nice moments against Golden State this season, Dallas looks the part of a team that hasn’t been to a big stage in a while and are struggling against a veteran team. Seeing a way in which the Mavericks fix their 3-point shooting and become a strong offensive team doesn’t seem viable.
With the Eastern Conference final tied after four games, Golden State closing this series out in four would provide a nice chance for rest. The Warriors have too much firepower to be slowed down by a one-dimensional team like Dallas. If the 3-pointers aren’t there and Doncic isn’t engaged, the Mavericks have a tough time competing.
How to bet on Warriors at Mavericks
Bet Golden State -106
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