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Home▷College Basketball Picks▷NCAAB: Dayton at Richmond Betting Analysis and Predictions

NCAAB: Dayton at Richmond Betting Analysis and Predictions

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Overview

The Richmond Spiders try to win a third straight game when they host the Dayton Flyers in an Atlantic 10 contest on Tuesday. The Flyers are coming off a two-point loss to La Salle, which dropped them into third place in the conference standings and snapped their five-game winning streak.

Dayton had been one of the hottest teams in the conference, but the setback to the Explorers – who have won just three games in conference play – slowed its momentum. The Flyers trail first-place Davidson by two games with two to play, though the two teams meet on Saturday in their regular-season finale.

The Spiders have won two straight to climb into a fifth-place tie with the Saint Louis Billikens, 1.5 games behind the fourth-place St. Bonaventure Bonnies. The top four teams in the regular-season standings earn a double-bye in next week’s conference tournament.

Last games records

Richmond is 19-10 overall and 10-6 in conference play. The Spiders have an 11-3 record at home, including wins in their last four games at the Robins Center. Dayton comes into this one with a record of 20-9, including a 12-4 mark against Atlantic 10 opponents. The Flyers are just 5-5 in true road games this season.

Matchup Information:

Dayton at Richmond Betting Analysis

Dayton Flyers Betting Analysis

The Flyers need a win to get some momentum back going into the Atlantic 10 tournament. Dayton needs as many victories as it can get to have a chance at the NCAA Tournament as well, so there’s a lot to play for in this one.

Freshman forward DaRon Holmes II will need to play big in this one. Holmes leads the Flyers with 11.8 points and 2.4 blocks per game. He anchors the Dayton defense and is the team’s main offensive weapon as well.

The Flyers are a very young team, with all five expected starters being either redshirt freshmen or true freshmen. They need to play up to the moment to keep the team’s conference championship dreams alive.

Richmond Spiders Betting Analysis

Richmond is gunning for its 20th win of the season, but it wants to avoid another double-digit comeback like it needed against Saint Louis in its last outing. The Spiders rallied from 12 back to get the victory, the team’s fifth double-digit comeback of the season.

Junior forward Tyler Burton is fourth in the Atlantic 10 in scoring at 16.9 points per game and ranks fifth in the conference at 7.5 per contest. He’s the only player in the league to rank in the top five in both categories and is coming off a double-double of 23 points and 10 rebounds against Saint Louis.

Senior guard Jacob Gilyard is one of the best in the country on both ends of the floor, leading the nation in steals per game with 3.03 and assist-to-turnover ratio at 3.67. He’s averaging 12.7 points and 5.8 assists per game.

Teams updates

Dayton forward Toumani Camara is not listed among the starters for this game, meaning the Flyers will be without their second-leading scorer and top rebounder for the second straight game with a lower body injury. 

  • Seven of Richmond’s last 10 games have gone under the total, while Dayton has gone over in six of its last 10.
  • Dayton is 11-1 overall and 11-1 ATS when scoring more than 69.4 points this season.
  • Richmond is 13-15-1 ATS in 2021-22.

Dayton at Richmond Betting Preview

The Spiders are two-point favorites at home, so betting against the spread is almost like a moneyline bet. Richmond has the experience while Dayton is playing a little shorthanded in this one, so the home team is going to have the advantage.

Dayton does lead the Atlantic 10 in scoring defense, allowing just 60.3 points per game, but it won’t be easy shutting down a Richmond offense that is putting up 73.1 points per contest.

Dayton at Richmond Betting Prediction

Flyers are missing one of its best interior players against a Spiders team that has one of the conference’s best in the paint. Look for the Richmond defense to hold Dayton down and come away with the win.

How to Bet on Dayton at Richmond

Take Richmond even if you’re giving the two points to win this one.

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#Dayton Flyers
#NCAAB
#Richmond Spiders
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