The New Mexico State Aggies will travel to Bryant-Denny Stadium on Saturday afternoon to take on the second-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide in a non-conference matchup. The Aggies are 1-8 and riding a five-game losing streak as they are coming off a 35-3 home loss against the Utah State Aggies.
Junior quarterback Jonah Johnson went 30-of-44 for 298 yards. The Crimson Tide are 8-1 and are riding a three-game winning streak after defeating the LSU Tigers 20-14. Sophomore quarterback Bryce Young went 24-of-37 for 302 yards with two touchdowns.
New Mexico State at Alabama Betting Preview
Wyatt Catching
Senior wide receiver Jared Wyatt has been playing very well so far this season as he has 41 receptions for 480 yards (11.7 yards per catch) with a pair of touchdown receptions. In his last game against the Aggies, Wyatt finished with four catches for 59 yards (14.8 yards per reception).
The New Mexico State Aggies have been a horrific defensive team as they are giving up 38.1 points per game. In their previous game against the Utah State Aggies, New Mexico State allowed 35 points on 457 total yards of offense (359 passing, 98 rushing).
Utah State struggled to convert as they finished 4-of-8 on third down attempts and failed to convert on their only fourth down try. New Mexico State has been struggling to stop the passing attack as Utah State threw for 11.2 yards per passing attempt.
Junior Playing Well
Senior running back Brian Robinson Jr has been incredibly well thus far as he has 155 rushing attempts for 724 yards (4.7 yards per carry) with 12 rushing touchdowns as well as 18 receptions for 169 yards (9.4 yards per catch) with a pair of receiving touchdowns.
In his last game against the Tigers, Robinson Jr finished with 13 carries for 18 yards (1.4 yards per attempt) with a rushing touchdown as well as an eight-yard reception.
The Alabama Crimson Tide have been doing extremely well this season defensively as they are allowing 19.9 points per game. In his previous game against the LSU Tigers, they gave up 14 points on 295 total yards of offense (186 passing, 109 rushing).
The Tigers were able to convert well as LSU went 5-of-18 on third down but 5-of-7 on fourth down conversions. The Crimson Tide did a very solid job as they forced the Tigers to go just 2.7 rushing yards per attempt.
Who to Bet on Aggies at Crimson Tide
The top sportsbooks in the country are having this around a 50 point spread, and that is way too high for my liking. If one or two things go wrong, the spread is ruined. New Mexico State is 6-3 against the spread this season, and Wyatt has shown the ability to be a solid offensive weapon for the Aggies.
Juwaun Price has been rushing the football well, and he can figure out how to find a rushing touchdown as well. The Aggies are scoring 26.5 points per game in their previous four games, while the Crimson Tide are scoring 39.8 points per game in that same stretch. All in all, go with the New Mexico State Aggies to cover the spread here.