Inside the dome of U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, the Dallas Cowboys (6-3) and Minnesota Vikings (8-1) square off in Week 11 of NFL matchups.
On Sunday, Dallas was a four-point favorite over Green Bay, but the Packers ended up winning 31-28 after coming from behind.
The Vikings defeated the Buffalo Bills 33-30 in overtime for what is perhaps their best victory of the year. Minnesota won an excellent away game while being underdogs by +6.5 points and improved to 8-1.
This might serve as a preview of an NFC playoff game. Therefore both sides seek to build on their impressive performances up to this point.
Which NFC team will come out on top? Let’s look closer at the best Cowboys vs Vikings predictions.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Minnesota Vikings
Matchup Info
- Game Day: Sunday, November 20, 2022
- Game Time: 4:25 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Stadium: U.S. Bank Stadium
Dallas Cowboys Performance Recap and Analysis
Dallas enters this game coming off a discouraging loss that dropped them to third place in the NFC East standings. If they keep losing, they will continue to drop in the NFL standings.
Cowboys’ Defense
The Cowboys’ defense struggled to stop the run as a result of allowing the Packers to take advantage of them for 207 yards on the ground.
Dallas boasts one of the strongest secondaries and pass rushes in the league, but if they want to win this game, they need to limit star running back Dalvin Cook.
Strong performances from Dak Prescott and the running combination of Tony Pollard and Ezekiel Elliott have made things easy for the offense.
Dak Prescott and Cowboys’ Averaging Numbers
According to NFL player stats, Dak Prescott has accounted for seven total touchdowns since his return in three games.
The Cowboys are averaging 23.4 points on offense, but their last three games have seen them score 33.7 points per game. The Cowboys have also gone 3-0-1 against the spread in their last four contests.
In Sunday’s 31-28 overtime loss to the Packers, the Dallas Cowboys defense registered two sacks and recovered two fumbles but gave up 31 points.
They were able to recover two fumbles, but allowing 30+ points is never good for a defense. They’ll try to recover in Week 11 against a formidable Vikings attack.
Key Injuries
According to the NFL injury report, DE Demarcus Lawerence, LB Anthony Barr, CB Anthony Brown, and RB Ezekiel Elliott have all been limited at practice this week.
Betting Trends to Know
Six times this season, the Cowboys have won against the spread (6-3-0). When playing as at least 1.5-point favorites, the Cowboys are 3-1 ATS.
The Cowboys have only exceeded the total three times in their nine games when it comes to the Over/Under.
Minnesota Vikings Performance Recap and Analysis
After taking down the Buffalo Bills on Sunday, the Minnesota Vikings take on the Dallas Cowboys on Monday night. Coach Kevin O’Connell’s squad won 33-30 in overtime, exhibiting resiliency that was even surprising for this team.
Vikings’ Averaging Numbers
The Vikings outscored the Bills 16-3 in the second half to overtake a 17-point deficit at one point, tie the game, and win it in overtime. The Vikings have now rattled off seven straight victories.
Even though the Vikings have a record of 8-1, the Vikings have had to mount six comebacks in those games.
They have been able to mount the comebacks thanks to their strong offense. The offense scores 25.1 points per game on average and is led by Kirk Cousins, who is tied for ninth with 14 touchdown passes.
Vikings’ Defense
Justin Jefferson has been on a roll, amassing 308 yards and two touchdowns in his last two outings. Major concerns exist on defense, however, as they allow the 30th-most yards per game overall (381.2).
The Week Ten victory over the Bills, 33-30 in overtime, was made possible by the Viking’s defense that picked off Josh Allen twice and forced two fumbles.
The Vikings’ defense allows a lot of offensive production, but they stiff up in the second half, as evidenced by holding the Bills to just three points in the second half. They will look to continue their success when they take on the Cowboys in Week 11.
Key Injuries
According to the Injury report, OLB Za’Darius Smith, WR Justin Jefferson, CB Akayleb Evans, OL Christian Darrisaw, and DL Dalvin Tomlinson were all limited at practice.
Betting Trends to Know
In nine games, the Vikings have covered the spread four times, but their previous four games have seen them go 3-0-1 ATS.
When playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs, the Vikings are 1-0 ATS, according to NFL team stats. This season, five Vikings games have had final combined scores that were higher than the over/under.
Cowboys vs. Vikings Odds Breakdown
According to NFL odds, the Cowboys are the betting favorite in this game despite playing on the road, with the spread set at 1.5 points (-110).
In terms of the moneyline, the Vikings are given +105 odds to win as home underdogs, while the Cowboys are given -125 odds to win as road favorites. The total for the contest is 47.5 points (-110).
Dallas Cowboys vs. Minnesota Vikings Betting Picks
Moneyline
When it comes to the Cowboys vs Vikings predictions, Dallas struggled to stop the run against the Packers last week and are gearing up to face one of the best running backs in the league in Dalvin Cook.
Additionally, they will have to play another game on the road against one of the best teams in the NFC. Take the 8-1 home underdog in this one.
NFL Pick: Vikings (+105)
Point Total
This has “shootout” written all over it. Both teams boast top-ten offenses, and while the Cowboys’ defense has been solid, not much can stop this Vikings team, especially at home.
Minnesota has gone Over the total in two of their last three, while Dallas has gone over in three of their last four contests. Take the Over here.
NFL Pick: Over 47.5 -110)
Spread
If you’re making Minnesota Vikings picks, know that Minnesota has gone 3-0-1 ATS in their last four contests, in addition to winning seven straight contests.
Additionally, the last seven of Minnesota’s contests have been one-possession games.
The Cowboy’s offense will test the Viking’s defense, but Minnesota has enough offense to keep it close. Miami has not lost a game at home this season, while the stats for the Dallas Cowboys have not been good on the road. Take Minnesota on the spread.
NFL Pick: Vikings +1.5 (-110)
Dallas Cowboys vs. Minnesota Vikings Score Prediction
The Cowboys will face threats from both the pass and the run from Minnesota, but what has impressed more is their ability to keep games close and prevail, as evidenced by their six come-from-behind victories this year.
While the Cowboys are playing good football, they will have to play their second consecutive road game.
Who to Bet On?
I believe the Cowboys will find it difficult to win this game on the road since the Vikings are unbeaten at home. The Vikings have been dominant and are carrying huge momentum with seven straight victories.
Kirk Cousins and the Vikings have been playing with some swagger, and when it comes to the Cowboys vs Vikings predictions, I like the home team to win outright in this matchup.
NFL Pick: Vikings (+105)
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