The 2024 Australian Open, one of the four premier tennis events of the season, is underway. While there are still first-round matches to be played, many second-round matches are set, including Daniel Elahi Galan vs. Sebastian Baez.
Galan vs Baez Picks
- Pick 1: Baez -200
- Pick 2: Over 38.5 games (-120)
While neither player is among the tennis predictions to win the tournament, both have the chance to reach the third round of the Australian Open for the first time in their careers. Baez has only once been to the third round of a grand slam, while Galan has been to the third round of every grand slam but the Australian Open. Let’s check out the Galan vs Baez best bets.
Daniel Elahi Galan vs Sebastian Baez Information
Daniel Galan vs Sebastian Baez
Location of the game: Melbourne Park in Melbourne, Australia
Date & Time: Wednesday, January 17 TBD
How to Watch: Tennis TV and TSN (Canada)
Recent Scores for Daniel Galan vs Sebastian Baez
Galan is into the second round of the Australian Open schedule after a hard-fought, five-set win 2-6, 6-3, 7-6 (3), 4-6, 7-6 (8) over Aussie favorite Jason Kubler. Galan had 16 aces in the marathon match and won 68 percent of points on first serve. He was 6-of-13 on breakpoint opportunities. The match was so close that Galan won on points 189-188.
Baez, meanwhile, comes into the Galan vs. Baez best bets with a 3-6, 6-2, 6-3, 3-0 win over J.J. Wolf, who was forced to retire in the fourth set due to injury. Baez had six aces and won 73 percent of points on first serve.
Daniel Elahi Galan vs Sebastian Baez Analysis
Baez is the world No. 26 and Galan is world No. 89, although the latter has had considerably more success in grand slams. Both players are 3-7 in their last 10 matches dating back to the 2023 season and looking for improved results in 2024. Baez, however, is a much better player on hard courts, with a 11-11 record in the last 52 weeks – Galan is just 4-10 on hard courts during that time.
In diving deeper into analysis for the Galan vs. Baez best bets, we have to look at recent head-to-head matches – and relevant tennis stats – between the two players. They’ve played three times on the ATP Tour and Baez has a 2-1 advantage, winning their most recent match 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 on hard courts at the Winston-Salem Open in 2023. He also beat Galan in 2021. Galan won the first match between the two players in 2020.
Overall, Baez is 1-2 on hard courts in 2024 and 29-26 in his career, whereas Galan is 102-91 overall on the surface, but just 6-13 over the last two seasons as he has struggled to find his game. He also already has a loss against Galan on hard courts.
Odds Breakdown for Daniel Galan vs Sebastian Baez
Daniel Galan
Galan has +162 moneyline Australian Open odds for the match with a games handicap of +3.5 (-120). The game’s total is 38.5 at BetUS.
Sebastian Baez
Baez is the betting favorite in Galan vs. Baez best bets with -200 moneyline odds and -3.5 (-120) match handicap odds.
Daniel Galan vs Sebastian Baez Betting Pick and Prediction
Baez has the better record against Galan in their three career matches and has been playing better dating back to last year. He also has the advantage of being on court less than Galan and should come into the match a little more rested. His first-round match lasted just 2 hours and 13 minutes, whereas Galan needed five hours to overcome Kubler.
- Pick 1: Baez -200
- Pick 2: Over 38.5 games (-120)
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