Miami Open 2024 wrapped up its first week, proving itself as one of this season’s most exciting tennis events. Three of the top 10 seeds, including Andrey Rublev and Stefanos Tsitsipas, were eliminated in the second round. Nearly half of the top 32 seeds who received a bye into the second round were knocked out.
Machac vs Arnaldi Picks
- Pick: Machac -135.
Four of the eight matches in the fourth round are set. One of them features a pair of unlikely champions Tomas Machac and Matteo Arnaldi. Let’s take a look at the Machac vs Arnaldi betting analysis of the latest scores and odds.
Tomas Machac vs Matteo Arnaldi Information
Tomas Machac vs Matteo Arnaldi
Location of the game: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida
Date & Time: Tuesday, March 26 at TBD
Where to Watch: ESPN and Tennis TV
Tomas Machac vs Matteo Arnaldi Recent Scores
Machac has looked impressive after a disappointing Round of 64 exit at Indian Wells. He won his opening round match 6-4, 6-2 against American qualifier Darwin Blanch and followed that with an impressive 6-4, 6-4 win over Rublev. He punched his ticket to the fourth round with a gutsy 5-7, 7-5, 7-6 (6) win over Andy Murray on Sunday. His tennis stats for the match included six aces, winning 75 percent of points on first set, and going 2-of-5 in breakpoint opportunities. He saved 13-of-15 breakpoint chances from Murray.
Arnaldi, meanwhile, is coming off a 6-3, 7-6 (7) win over Shapovalov in the Round of 32. He has prior victories over Alexander Bublik and Arthur Fils. He won a set against eventual Indian Wells winner Carlos Alcaraz in the Round of 64 at the BNP Paribas Open before losing in three sets.
Tomas Machac vs Matteo Arnaldi Betting Analysis
Machac Having a Breakthrough Season
Machac wasn’t considered one of the favorites for anyone looking to bet on the Miami Open 2024, but he has had a strong performance through the first week of the tournament. He has had a good season overall, with a 13-6 record that has vaulted him into a career-best world No. 60. He’s probably going to jump even higher in the rankings with what he’s doing in Miami, especially if he beats Arnaldi, who’s ranked 38th.
Machac is 11-5 on outdoor hard courts this season and 61-27 all-time on the surface, while Arnaldi is 10-7 this season and 67-35 all-time. In addition to impressive wins over Rublev and Murray in Miami, Machac has victories this season over quality opponents like Stan Wawrinka, Lorenzo Musetti, and Roberto Bautista Agut.
Arnaldi Hoping to Overcome Past Loss to Machac
Arnaldi is also having a solid year, reaching a career-best ranking of No. 38 prior to the Miami Open. His best result this season was a quarter-final appearance at the Brisbane International, but he has been fairly consistent in at least winning a match or two in every tournament in which he enters. He has wins over Taylor Fritz, Jan-Lennard Struff, and Yoshihito Nishioka.
If he is to make the quarter-finals for the second time this season, Arnaldi will have to redeem a 2022 loss to Machac. The Czech player beat him in dominant fashion, 6-0, 6-1, on outdoor hard courts in Dubai in 2023. Arnaldi has been on court for about 1 hour and 30 minutes fewer than Machac, which could be an important factor in the Machac vs Arnaldi betting analysis.
Updates
Both players are healthy with no injury concerns for the Machac vs Arnaldi betting analysis.
Tomas Machac vs Matteo Arnaldi Betting Preview
Machac is the favorite to win in the Machac vs Arnaldi betting analysis with -135 moneyline odds. Arnaldi is the underdog in the 2024 Miami Open predictions with +100 moneyline odds at BetUS. Other tennis odds for the match include Arnaldi to win the first set (+100) and Machac to win the first set and match (+105).
Tomas Machac vs Matteo Arnaldi Betting Prediction
Expect Machac to build upon the momentum gained with victories over Murray and Rublev. He’s playing at a high level right now and has proven to match up well against Arnaldi.
- Pick: Machac -135.
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