The 2024 Miami Open, one of the premier tennis events on the WTA schedule, has been a wild ride through the first four rounds and into the quarter-finals. There have been plenty of upsets, most notably with world No. 1 Iga Swiatek losing in straight sets to Ekaterina Alexandrova in the Round of 16. Also in the Round of 16, Caroline Garcia beat Coco Gauff 6-3, 1-6, 6-2. Aryna Sabalenka, meanwhile, was eliminated in the Round of 32.
Pegula vs Alexandrova Picks
- Pick 1: Pegula -180
- Pick 2: Over 21.5 games (-120)
The final two of the four quarter-final matches in the women’s draw take place on Wednesday, one of which sees Alexandrova take on one of two Americans left in the tournament: Jessica Pegula. Let’s take a look at the tennis betting odds for the match along with the Pegula vs Alexandrova best bets.
Jessica Pegula vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Information
Jessica Pegula vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
Location of the game: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida
Date & Time: Wednesday, March 27 at TBD
Where to Watch: ESPN and Tennis TV
Jessica Pegula vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Recent Scores
Pegula has had a smooth run to the quarter-finals in Miami, winning each of her first three matches in straight sets. She’s coming off a 7-6 (1), 6-3 victory over Emma Navarro. Her tennis stats for the match included four aces, winning 65 percent of points on first serve, and going 3-of-6 in breakpoint opportunities. She also beat Leylah Fernandez and Lin Zhu.
Alexandrova’s upset victory over Swiatek was the biggest of her career. The world No. 16 beat the world No. 1 6-4, 6-2. She had seven aces in the match and won five games in a row at one point in the match. She also beat fellow Russian Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova and Donna Vekic.
Jessica Pegula vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Analysis
Pegula is 9-4 this season with all matches being played on outdoor hard courts. She has spent 4 hours and 19 minutes on court prior to the Pegula vs Alexandrova best bets. The 30-year-old veteran was 45-12 on outdoor hard courts in 2023 and has a career 229-110 record on the surface.
Alexandrova, meanwhile, is 11-7 this season, including 8-6 on outdoor hard courts. Ekaterina had been playing below average on hard courts prior to the Miami Open, where she was a quarter-finalist last year. She lost her first-round match at the BNP Paribas Open and Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, her two most recent starts, and lost 1-6, 4-6 to Swiatek in the Round of 16 at the Qatar Open.
Pegula and Alexandrova have met once prior on the WTA Tour. That was at the Internazionali BNL d’Italia in Rome in 2021. Pegula won that match 6-2, 6-4, although it was on clay. Pegula, who is also favored in upcoming grand slam predictions, has two WTA Tour titles in the last 52 weeks and Alexandrova has one.
Odds Breakdown for Jessica Pegula vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
Pegula
Pegula is the betting favorite according to BetUS with -180 tennis betting odds for the moneyline. Her other tennis odds include winning the first set (-165), winning the match in straight sets (+130), and winning in three sets (+300).
Alexandrova
Alexandrova is a +135 moneyline underdog in the Pegula vs Alexandrova best bets. Her other tennis odds include winning the first set (+120) and winning the match in straight sets (+280). The game’s total is 21.5, with over and under odds at -120 and -115, respectively.
Jessica Pegula vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Betting Pick and Prediction
Pegula has the 1-0 match advantage in her favor against Alexandrova and is playing in front of a supportive American audience. She had also been playing better than Alexandrova coming into the Miami Open and should find a way to get it done on Wednesday’s scores and odds.
- Pick 1: Pegula -180
- Pick 2: Over 21.5 games (-120)
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