The Miami Open, an ATP 1000 Masters tournament, is one of the premier tennis events of the season. Coming on the heels of another ATP 1000 event, the BNP Paribas Open at Indian Wells, the tournament features all of the top players in the world, with the exception of world No. 1 Novak Djokovic, who pulled out of the tournament citing scheduling conflicts.
Shapovalov vs Tsitsipas Picks
- Pick: Tsitsipas -375
Stefanos Tsitipas, the world No. 10, begins his tournament in the Round of 64 against Denis Shapovalov, who won for just the second time on outdoor hard courts in the Round of 128 to book a spot in the second round. Let’s take a look at the scores and odds for our Shapovalov vs Tsitsipas betting analysis.
Denis Shapovalov vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Information
Denis Shapovalov vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida
Date & Time: Friday, March 22 at TBD
How to Watch: ESPN+ and Tennis TV
Denis Shapovalov vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Recent Scores
Shapovalov has played a limited schedule due to injuries during the last year. He’s coming off a Round of 64 loss to Lorenzo Musetti at the BNP Paribas Open before the Miami Open, but won his first-round match against Luciano Darderi 6-3, 6-7 (3), 6-4. His tennis stats for the match include 16 aces, winning 77 percent of points on first serve, and going 4-of-12 on breakpoint opportunities.
Tsitsipas reached the Round of 16 at Indian Wells before losing in straight sets in an upset loss to Jiri Lehecka. His tennis stats for the match included four aces, winning 64 percent of points on first serve, and going 0-for-4 in breakpoint opportunities.
Denis Shapovalov vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Betting Analysis
Shapovalov Seeking Improvements in 2024
Shapovalov, once ranked as high as No. 10 in the world, has played sparsely over the last year, going just 12-13 in the last 52 weeks. The 24-year-old Canadian is just 5-7 this season, including 2-4 on outdoor hard courts. He was just 6-6 on the surface in 2022, but went 22-12 in 2021, showing he can keep up with some of the top players in the world. It has been a different story during the last year.
His most recent Miami Open results include reaching the Round of 32 in 2022, when he lost to Frances Tiafoe. Interestingly, he is 3-2 in five career matches in the Shapovalov vs Tsitsipas betting analysis.
Tsitsipas with a Losing Record against the Canadian
Tsitsipas is the far superior player to Shapovalov, especially at this point in time. He has gone deeper in grand slams and played better against top-ranked players, reaching a career-best world No. 3. He is 10-5 this season with all matches played on outdoor hard courts and is 4-2 in his last six matches. Tsitsipas was out in the quarter-final in the Mexican Open and semi-final in the Mifel Tennis Open.
Despite the difference in their world ranking and recent form, Tsitsipas actually has a losing 2-3 record against Shapovalov and is 0-3 against him on outdoor hard courts. All three of those losses, however, came between 2018 and 2020, with the most recent one coming at the ATP Cup in January 2020. Tsitsipas has been much better on the surface than Shapovalov as of late, going 19-9 and 18-8 on outdoor hard courts in the last two years.
Updates
Both players are healthy with no injury concerns heading into the Shapovalov vs Tsitsipas betting analysis.
Denis Shapovalov vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Betting Preview
Tsitsipas is the betting favorite with -375 moneyline odds, while Shapovalov is a +225 moneyline underdog. Other tennis odds for the Shapovalov vs Tsitsipas betting analysis include Tsitsipas to win the first set (-250) and Shapovalov to win the first set (+175) at BetUS.
Denis Shapovalov vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Betting Prediction
Tsitsipas should win the match, but playing someone who he has had past success against could give Shapovalov a boost. This one could be a three-set victory for Tsitsipas.
- Pick: Tsitsipas -375
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