It has been an interesting first week of action at Wimbledon at the All England Lawn Tennis & Croquet Club. The third of the tennis main events known as the grand slams has featured weather delays, incredible matches, and some upset victories, especially in the men’s draw with unseeded Christopher Eubanks reaching the quarter-finals.
While Eubanks meets Russian Daniil Medvedev in one of two quarter-finals on Wednesday, the other sees world No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz take on up-and-coming Dane Holger Rune.
Alcaraz, who had the second-shortest Wimbledon odds at the outset of the tournament, is coming off of a Round of 16 win over Matteo Berrettini, while Rune disposed of Grigor Dmitrov 3-6, 7-6 (8-6), 7-6 (7-4), 6-3.
Let’s take a closer look at some of the Rune vs Alcaraz best bets and odds.
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Holger Rune Information
Carlos Alcaraz vs Holger Rune
Location of the game: All England Lawn Tennis & Croquet Club (Wimbledon)
Date & Time: Wednesday, July 12. Hour TBD.
How to Watch: ESPN | FuboTV
Recent Scores
Rune, the highest-ranked Dutch player in the tennis standings, is certainly a fighter – he has gone to a tiebreak five times at Wimbledon and has won each of them – but faces a tough challenge in the Rune vs Alcaraz best bets.
In his recent Round of 16 victory over Dmitrov, Rune recorded 11 aces, five double faults, and won 81 percent of points on first serve. He was 2-for-9 on break-point opportunities.
Before his victory against Dmitrov, Rune came back from a 2-1 set deficit to beat Spaniard Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. He won the fifth set tiebreak 10-8 and won the go-ahead ninth point after Fokina gave a poor attempt at an underhand serve. He has also beat Roberto Carballes Baena and George Loffhagen.
Alcaraz’s Ups and Downs
Alcaraz is coming off a four-set victory over Berrettini. He had just four aces and recorded five double faults. He played better than the score indicated but was just 3-for-15 on break-point opportunities. Berrettini had just three break-point chances.
Alcaraz, a favorite for those who regularly bet on tennis, has also beaten Nicolas Jarry, Alexandre Muller, and Jeremy Chardy. He’s had a lighter draw and easier time on the court than his quarter-final opponent ahead of the Rune vs Alcaraz best bets.
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Holger Rune Analysis
Alcaraz and Rune are similar players and popular Wimbledon picks with great athleticism and superb shotmaking abilities. Rune has proven the ability to battle back and overcome tough challenges in Grand Slam matches, and, while Alcaraz has one Grand Slam (the 2022 US Open) to his name, he showed conditioning problems against Novak Djokovic in the French Open last month.
Still, it’s tough to bet against Alcaraz. He is 44-4 this season, including 9-0 on grass, and is becoming a more well-rounded player. Rune is 34-12, including 6-1 on grass.
Rune and Alcaraz have split their two career meetings, with Rune recording a win at the Rolex Paris Masters via an Alcaraz retirement. Alcaraz beat Rune in three sets at the Next Gen ATP Finals in Milan in 2021.
Odds Breakdown
Holger Rune
Rune is a +250 underdog. The over/under for total games is 37.5, with the over and under each paying out -120.
Carlos Alcaraz
Alcaraz is a -334 favorite to win the match and earn a spot in the Wimbledon semifinals.
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Holger Rune Betting Pick and Prediction
Alcaraz is the clear favorite in all Alcaraz vs Rune best bets and the higher-ranked player in the tennis standings. He should ultimately prevail, but this is definitely one that can go either way and should go at least four sets.
- Pick 1: Alcaraz -334
- Pick 2: Over 37.5 (-120)
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