With UFC 301 coming this weekend on the UFC fight schedule, let’s turn our attention towards the co-main event of this historic card. An exciting bantamweight contender, Jonathan Martinez, will welcome UFC Hall of Famer Jose Aldo back to the sport of MMA after retiring in 2022.
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Fight Details and Betting Picks
Jonathan Martinez vs Jose Aldo Information
Jonathan Martinez vs Jose Aldo
Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Date & Time: Saturday, May 4, 2024 10:00 p.m. ET
How to watch: ESPN+ PPV
Martinez vs Aldo Picks

- Pick: Jose Aldo ML (+125)
Our picks are based on analysis, not guarantees. Bet on sports at your own risk. If you think that you need help please visit NCPG website or call 1-800-GAMBLER.
This is a great matchup for fans all over the world, especially in Brazil this weekend. If you are one to make UFC bets on the weekends, let’s take a closer look at what the Martinez vs Aldo betting trends look like this week and discuss the potential outcome of this upcoming UFC fight.
Read more for the breakdown of the betting lines and betting trends for this matchup from multiple major sportsbooks as we prepare for the weekend of betting on MMA.
Martinez vs Aldo Odds
Sportsbook | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|
BetUS | Martinez: -150 Aldo: +120 |
O 2½ -250 U 2½ +200 |
BetOnline | Martinez: -142 Aldo: +122 |
O 2½ -260 U 2½ +200 |
Jazzsports | Martinez: -157 Aldo: +117 |
O 1½ -444 U 1½ +268 |
Bovada | Martinez: -145 Aldo: +120 |
O 2½ -275 U 2½ +200 |
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Martinez vs Aldo Recent Results
Martinez is coming off a second-round TKO win via leg kick against Adrian Yanez last October.
Aldo is making his return to the sport after retiring following his unanimous decision loss to Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 278 in August 2022.
Jonathan Martinez vs Jose Aldo Betting Lines
BetUS betting line: Martinez (-150) vs Aldo (+120)
These are standard UFC odds for this matchup this weekend, as this line has trended in Martinez’s favor since opening at pick ‘em -115 odds for both UFC fighters. Keep an eye out on any other late movement as the lines are set to close on Saturday.
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BetOnline betting line: Martinez (-142) vs Aldo (+122)
An interesting Aldo betting trend happening at BetOnline: Aldo opened as the betting favorite and is now flipped to the underdog. This is the most valuable line you can get right now for both fighters.
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Jazzsports betting line: Martinez (-157) vs Aldo (+117)
According to Martinez vs Aldo betting trends, Martinez moved to a pretty sizeable betting favorite at the start of fight week, but now is trending back down to closer to even odds as the weekend creeps closer.
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Bovada betting line: Martinez (-145) vs Aldo (+120)
Much like BetOnline, Aldo opened as the betting favorite at Bovada as well. The line is trending back to EVEN as the fight week goes on as well, so keep your eye on that to get better odds for a Martinez pick.
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Jonathan Martinez vs Jose Aldo Best Bet
On the Martinez match predictions, the first thing that stands out on film and his record is his leg-kicking ability. This guy has elite kicking ability out of the southpaw stance that has proven to be a nightmare for every man who stands across from him.
If you are familiar to the history of MMA, you know Jose Aldo is one of the best leg kickers to ever strap on the four-ounce gloves. This is going to be a chess match of violence with these two standing at range, trying to control the pace with leg kicks.
Will Aldo be durable enough at his age for the violent leg attacks from Martinez? Or will Martinez continue his winning streak in the biggest fight of his career?
The Martinez vs Aldo betting trends show how close of a matchup this is in oddsmakers’ eyes. Aldo opened as a betting favorite at a lot of sportsbooks but now has flipped to being the slight underdog.
Final Pick
We are taking Jose Aldo to make a statement in his return fight in front of the Brazilian fans. It will be a special night that might even convince him to stick around the UFC and make a run at the title before calling it quits for good.
The speed advantage could very well still be with Aldo, even at 37 years old. The key to this fight will be his boxing, though. After focusing on boxing over the last year and a half, Aldo’s hands have surely gotten better.
Jonathan Martinez isn’t the best fighter and is very dependent on his left kick. If Aldo can neutralize that kick and use his footwork to stay away from it, the boxing will stand out. Martinez is soft to the body as well and Aldo is one of the best body punchers in MMA history.
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