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Home▷WNBA▷WNBA Finals Game 3: Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Betting Analysis and Prediction

WNBA Finals Game 3: Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Betting Analysis and Prediction

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Ethan Miller / AFP

The Las Vegas Aces and New York Liberty were supposed to be an epic WNBA finals matchup. It still may be. But the Liberty haven’t shown their immense talent through the first two games of the finals.

Aces vs LibertyPicks
New York Liberty Logo

WNBA Pick : Liberty at +115

Anyone looking to make an Aces vs Liberty betting analysis will see New York will need its 3-point shooting. Otherwise, the Liberty could see their first trip to the championship series in over 20 years ended in disappointment.

Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty Odds

 
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Las Vegas Aces -2 -110 -135 o 172½ -110
New York Liberty +2 -110 +115 u 172½ -110

Aces vs. Liberty Information

Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty

Location of the game: Barclays Center, Brooklyn.

Date & Time: Sunday, October 15. 3:00 p.m.

How to watch: ABC

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Recent Scores

Unlike the games the two teams played in the regular season to determine seeding in the WNBA standings, Las Vegas has dominated the meetings in the WNBA finals. The Aces won Game 2 104-76.

In Game 2, Las Vegas blitzed New York from the outset. The Aces scored 38 points in the first quarter and never trailed. New York won the season series 3-2, including a win in the Commissioner’s Cup.

Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty Betting Analysis

Las Vegas Empties the Tank

All five of Las Vegas’ starters will be tired after this series. Looking at WNBA stats shows the Aces have been leaning on their starting five to carry the load. All five starters played 30 or more minutes in Game 2.

A’Ja Wilson was the top performer according to the Aces vs Liberty betting analysis. The WNBA Defensive Player of the Year scored 26 points and pulled down 15 rebounds. Chelsea Gray also finished with a double-double, scoring 15 points and handing out 11 assists.

Also significant was how Las Vegas’ offense is the best among all the WNBA teams. The Aces shot 44.8 percent (13-of-29) from the 3-point line and made 100 percent (17-of-17) of their free throws. Kelsey Plum made a team-high five treys for Las Vegas.

New York Hasn’t Looked the Same

The most surprising part of Aces vs Liberty betting analysis is how poorly the Liberty have shot from the 3-point line. New York only shot 22.9 percent (8-of-35) in Game 2. If the Liberty can’t find their groove, this series could end in three games.

More surprising has been how Sabrina Ionescu has struggled from the 3-point line. Ionescu shot 2 of 7 from the 3-point line in Game 2. People making WNBA finals picks will see that Breanna Stewart and Jonquel Jones have played well for the Liberty. Both finished with double-doubles in Game 2.

Breanna Stewart finished with 14 points and 13 rebounds. Jones had 22 points and ten rebounds. New York has had a difficult time cracking the Las Vegas defense. The Liberty only shot 36 percent in Game 2. This was the first time all season that New York lost back-to-back games.

Updates

Neither team has anyone on the injury report.

Aces vs. Liberty Betting Preview

  • Spread: Las Vegas is a 2-point road favorite according to WNBA finals odds.
  • Moneyline: The Aces are -141 on the moneyline, while the Liberty are +115.
  • Over/Under: The over/under has been set at 173.5 points.

Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty Betting Prediction

The Aces are one step away from becoming the first repeat champion since the Los Angeles Sparks won in 2001-02. Anyone making Aces vs Liberty betting analysis will see that Game 3 won’t go so smoothly. While Las Vegas feels like a team of destiny, it wouldn’t feel right if the Liberty were swept.

New York’s superteam was formed to win a championship. The Liberty will find their mettle to win Game 3 at home as slight underdogs.

  • WNBA Pick: Liberty at +115

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