Boxing Picks

Leigh Wood vs. Mauricio Lara Betting Analysis and Prediction

In one of the biggest UK boxing fights coming up this year, the rematch is happening this weekend. Leigh Wood looks to get his title back after suffering a TKO loss to Mauricio Lara only a few months ago. The two will be meeting again in Manchester with everything on the line. 

Read further for a complete Wood vs Lara betting analysis and prediction ahead of making your boxing picks for this weekend’s betting slate.

Wood vs. Lara Information

Leigh Wood vs Mauricio Lara

Location of the fight: Manchester Arena, Manchester, United Kingdom.

Date and Time: Sunday, May 27. 5:00 PM ET estimated ring walk

How to Watch: DAZN

Last Fight Record

These two fought in their last appearance in the ring. Wood was up on scorecards, but got hurt in the second, then dropped hard in the 7th round, which led to his corner throwing in the towel.

Wood vs. Lara Betting Analysis

Leigh Wood

Wood is looking to put the way the last fight ended behind him and earn his featherweight world title back this weekend. He is a 34-year-old orthodox boxer out of the UK, with a record of 26-3 with 16 KOs, and has been KO’d twice as well. 

Mauricio Lara

Lara is looking to get yet another massive victory on UK soil. You don’t see too many champions needing to defend their belts on the other man’s home turf, but it seems Lara doesn’t have any issues playing the party-pooper role.

He is a 25-year-old fighter with the Mexican fighting spirit that everyone talks about. This kid has that inside of him, and his 26-2-1 record shows that. He has won via TKO or KO in 9 of his last 10 bouts. The young man is only getting better and more confident.

Since this matchup took place less than three months ago, the analytics really don’t come into play. We all know what we saw in February, and that is what you should go off of when using the Wood vs Lara betting analysis to make a betting prediction.


No injuries have been reported to Matchroom Boxing or the WBA.

Wood vs. Lara Betting Preview

When looking at the boxing odds for this weekend, you can see that Lara can be found at around -300 as the betting favorite. Wood, the former champion, is the +230 underdog for this rematch. 

The over 8.5 rounds total is in plus-odds, meaning that the oddsmakers are predicting an early stoppage. 

The most interesting betting line has to be Lara winning by TKO/KO at -200. That is a dangerous prop bet to lay money one, especially when it’s that close to his moneyline

Wood vs. Lara Betting Prediction

After doing the prior work on the Wood vs Lara betting analysis, all we need to know is how that last fight went. What other adjustments can Wood make to figure out how to get his hand raised Saturday night in Manchester?

Unfortunately for UK boxing fans, Lara is going to come out on top again in this one. The 34-year-old Leigh Wood will still have a few more big boxing matches in his future that will be able to sell out UK arenas, but his championship reign is over.

The reasoning behind this pick is from the writing on the wall in the last fight. From the second-round on, Lara was clearly overpowering Wood. His shots looked heavier, and Wood was visibly feeling almost everyone. 

Fast and Sharp

It is very difficult to see an outcome where the power punches of Lara don’t end up hurting Wood badly and finishing him as the rounds pile up. You can expect Wood to come out of the gates fast and sharp, making Lara fight on his back foot. 

People need to give Lara more credit for his boxing ability and his IQ. He has a game plan and he likes to give his opponents a false sense of confidence, which opens up the big powerful left hook or right overhand. 

  • You can expect a finish somewhere in rounds 5-8 in this one. It will look pretty similar to the first meeting.

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