On October 8 in Carson, California, the interim WBC super welterweight champion Sebastian Fundora will be taking on former IBF world title challenger Carlos Ocampo.
Fundora (19-0-1) will be making his first defense of the belt against the 34-1 Mexican fighter.
Fighters’ Previous Scoreboards
Sebastian Fundora is coming off his first WBC interim title win over Erickson Lubin via corner retirement.
Carlos Ocampo has won 12 straight fights after his loss to Errol Spence back in 2018, including a KO victory in his last appearance over Vincente Rodriguez.
Fundora vs. Ocampo Betting Analysis
Sebastian Fundora
The biggest factor that jumps out at you in the Fundora vs. Ocampo betting analysis is the height and reach of Fundora. He is a once-in-a-generation body type for the 154lb. division.
Fundora has a perfect record so far in his young career, and he is one of the most exciting fighters to watch right now. His last performance against Lubin was one of the most exciting fights of the year.
Seven Foot Wingspan
For a guy with a 7-foot wingspan going up against fighters mostly about 5’8-5’10 in stature, Fundora seems to like to fight on the inside now.
This is worrisome against a guy like Ocampo, that has shown he can invest into body shots early, and with a small midsection like Fundora’s, you would think that would open up the possibility for body shots to hurt him.
Carlos Ocampo
Carlos Ocampo is a Mexican-born fighter with an impressive 34-1 record at just 26 years old. He was finished with a body shot back in 2018 against Errol Spence, but other than that, his record is spotless.
He will be giving up a massive height and reach advantage to Fundora this weekend, so Ocampo needs to figure out what he can do to hurt Fundora.
Confronting the 6’5 Champion
The body shots early in the fight seem to be the best plan for Ocampo since he is going to have a hard time reaching the chin of the 6’5 champion.
Ocampo is the big underdog here this weekend and will surely prove a lot of people wrong if he gets the job done. This is going to have to be a dog fight for Ocampo to have a chance for the win.
Fundora vs. Ocampo Betting Preview
After formulating the Fundora vs. Ocampo betting analysis, there is a reason that Ocampo is +550 to win this one. There are a lot of physical disadvantages that Ocampo has that honestly make the young Fundora so tough to beat in this weight division.
Fundora also looks like the slicker boxer and better puncher. He is more selective with the punches and combinations he throws compared to Ocampo.
Betting on Boxing: A Tough Bet
Betting on boxing can be tough with these odds being so one-sided in a title fight, but it’s tough to pick against Fundora at this point.
At +550, a play on Ocampo is feasible just in case he finds a way to win, but it is a tall task, literally. Fundora has also shown he is a tough kid that is ready for a war.
He got dropped in his last fight and then went on to beat his opponent so bad it led to the corner stopping the fight.
Fundora vs. Ocampo Betting Predictions
Boxing stats don’t lie, Fundora likes to KO guys, and he doesn’t lose. He was tested in his last bout but showed he is ready for a war. I think Ocampo is a step down in competition now from his last fight, and Ocampo won’t be there for as long as Lubin.
Who to Bet On?
The boxing picks here are made with support from real facts and statistics, but there is also some intuition involved.
It is tough not to think a body shot can put down the slender frame of Fundora, but he is just going to be too much for Ocampo.
For better odds, look for prop bets that have Fundora finishing this fight. He will get another KO win to add to his resume and will keep working his way up to bigger fights in his career.
Boxing Pick: Fundora (-900)
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