One of the best stories of the 2023 Major League Baseball season has been Arizona Diamondbacks outfielder Corbin Carroll. The 22-year-old lefthander from Seattle has broken onto the scene and is the hands-down National League Rookie of the Year in MLB Picks.
But, one of the questions around Major League Baseball is asking – can the rookie join the 40-40 club in 2023? Let’s take a break from the MLB games today and take a quick look at the Corbin Carroll Future Odds.
What is the 40/40 Club?
Looking at the past MLB MVP odds – only four players in Major League Baseball history have achieved the 40/40 mark. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a chance to do it this season as well.
Those that have done it in the past are Jose Canseco of Oakland, Barry Bonds with San Francisco, Alex Rodriguez of the Seattle Mariners, and Alfonso Soriano of the Washington Nationals. The 40/40 club is when a player hits 40 home runs and steals 40 bases in the same season.
Carroll’s Betting Odds
As of Thursday, July 20th, 2023, the odds for Corbin Carroll to get to the 40/40 club sat on one option. Oddsmakers have taken away the NO option, and there is just a YES option. YES is listed at +1500.
That’s a big underdog to achieve the goal. For reference, that means a $100 bet on the YES would win $1500 if he were actually to get the 40/40 this season. Basically, oddsmakers do not think it’s happening. So, will it?
The Numbers Are In
So, the numbers are in on Corbin Carroll stats. The rookie lefthander is hitting .283, with 18 home runs, 50 runs batted in, and has stolen 28 bases. Corbin has played in 91 games so far for Arizona.
Also – his Arizona Diamondbacks team is 54-42 on the season, which is just 1.5 games behind the Dodgers in the National League West.
What He Needs?
Well, if the odds are going to be +1500 for the YES, what Corbin Carroll is going to need is ALOT. And that’s true. Carroll still needs 22 home runs and 12 stolen bases. Carroll has played in all but 2 of the Diamondbacks’ games this season. Arizona is chasing a playoff spot, so likely Carroll is not getting a day off.
So, we are looking at another 66 games for Carroll. He would need to come up with 12 stolen bases during that time, which is basically a stolen base every 5+ games. That’s certainly doable for the speedy outfielder. Not only is it doable, it’s likely going to happen.
Now, the home runs. It’s hard to imagine Corbin Carroll picking up 22 home runs over the last 66 games. That would put him at a home run every three games from here on out. His current pace puts him at a home run in every five at-bats. The power supply has been impressive for the 22-year-old, but it’s hard to imagine he increases that pace by 40%.
Projections
Our final projections for Corbin Carroll are as of followed: Carroll will hit 40+ stolen bases. We project him to finish with 45 stolen bases on the season.
When it comes to home runs, we are going to settle in at 31 for him. Carroll is coming to come away with an impressive rookie season but falls a little short in his quest to win the 40/40.
Final Bet
With no current option for the NO bet – we are going to take NO ACTION on this bet. Even if the NO came back, it would come with a ton of juice and likely not worth the value.
So take NO ACTION on the Corbin Carroll future odds for now, and watch the status of Carroll as he works on his quest, but more importantly, works on his Arizona Diamondbacks to get to the postseason in 2023.
We hope you enjoyed our final Corbin Carroll Future Odds outlook. Best of luck with all your Major League Baseball betting.
As August arrives, the season is expected to heat up even more as MLB teams battle for postseason positioning. Remember – there will be six teams in the National League and six in the American League to make the postseason.
We should then see a fun October. Will Corbin Carroll and his teammates be there? We shall find out!
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