If you are looking for the Bellator best bets for this weekend, you’ve come to the right place. You might have had this historic Bellator 300 event circled on the MMA schedule, so let’s take a close look at this title bout in the main event between lightweights Usman Nurmagomedov and Brent Primus.
Nurmagomedov vs. PrimusPicks
The official prediction for this Bellator 300 main event is that Nurmagomedov will win in whatever way he wants.
Read more for the Nurmagomedov vs Primus betting analysis and prediction ahead of making your picks on this weekend’s card.
Nurmagomedov vs. Primus Information
Usman Nurmagomedov vs Brent Primus
Location of the game: Pechanga Arena, San Diego, CA.
Date and Time: Saturday, October 07. 10:00 PM ET main card start.
How to Watch: Showtime | Paramount+
Last Fight Record
- Nurmagomedov is coming off a dominant first-round submission over Benson Henderson in March.
- Primus also fought in March, where he won a 5-round decision over Mansour Barnaoui.
Usman Nurmagomedov vs. Brent Primus Betting Analysis
Usman Nurmagomedov
Nurmagomedov is a Dagestani fighter with an undefeated professional MMA record of 17-0, with eight TKO/KOs and six submissions under his belt at only the age of 25.
He fights out of the orthodox stance and measures in at 5’11” with a 72” reach. His brother is one of the best bantamweights in the world, Umar, and he’s cousins with the great Khabib Nurmagomedov.
Brent Primus
Primus is an American mixed martial artist with a professional record of 12-3, with two wins by KO and six submission victories.
At the age of 38, this is arguably his last chance of regaining his thrown as Bellator lightweight champion. He beat the great Michael Chandler in 2017 at Bellator NYC to win the title, then later lost in the rematch in Hawaii.
Primus is listed at 5’10” with a 73” reach, making him physically able to match Nurmagomedov.
He’s a BJJ black belt, but he earned that after only training for six years, so you might have to put an asterisk next to that accomplishment compared to the other black belts in the world.
Updates
No injuries have been reported to Bellator MMA.
Nurmagomedov vs. Primus Betting Preview
The Nurmagomedov vs Primus betting analysis can only tell us so much. The analytics and the stats actually make this seem like a closer matchup than it really is. Let’s go deeper and preview the betting lines, and most importantly, watch the tape on both of these guys to decide how the styles will clash.
According to the Bellator odds, Nurmagomedov is coming in as a massive -2200 betting favorite, with some sportsbooks having him as high as -2800. These lines are pretty laughable to see in MMA, especially a world title fight. We don’t even have to look into any other lines to get the idea of how we can bet on this fight.
Bellator Success vs. the Ultimate Test
The film on both of these guys really tells the story of how this fight might go. It’s truly two different levels of skills going up against each other. Primus deserves the respect as a former champion and professional fighter, but he’s not on the level of the undefeated Dagestani.
Primus made a career out of using his tough upbringing to create a toughness and determination that is unmatched. He has had success at a second-tier promotion like Bellator, but he hasn’t faced anybody as world-class as he will see this weekend.
Nurmagomedov is an elite grappler, with some elite striking abilities starting to peek through the surface already at only 25 years old. The potential this kid has is really special, and it will be interesting to watch as time goes on. He’s also much bigger than Primus than the measurements that Bellator has listed.
Usman Nurmagomedov vs. Brent Primus Betting Prediction
There isn’t much to say about making Bellator picks like this one. The Nurmagomedov vs Primus betting analysis can’t say much or change the way this fight is looked at either.
- The official prediction for this Bellator 300 main event is that Nurmagomedov will win in whatever way he wants.
For the best payout, take a chance and try to find a prop bet with him winning in the first two rounds–hoping he steps on the gas and gets Primus out of there.
Primus is far too sloppy technically to give Nurmagomedov any kind of trouble. Quite frankly, Nurmagomedov will probably not run into any trouble until he signs with the UFC in the future.
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