The PFL is back this weekend in Las Vegas for the second installment of the 2024 regular season; this time with the light heavyweight and lightweight divisions behind showcased. A key fight this Friday night is the co-main event between legit light heavyweight contenders Rob Wilkinson and Tom Breese.
Wilkinson vs Breese Picks
- Pick 1: Breese ML +160
- Pick 2: Fight to end by decision +300.
Expert picks and parlays will likely focus on these contrasting strengths. Will Wilkinson’s grappling prowess negate Breese’s striking? Or will Breese find a way to land a fight-ending blow? Continue reading for the Wilkinson vs Breese betting analysis and prediction before you bet on any MMA fights tonight.
Wilkinson vs. Breese Information
Rob Wilkinson vs. Tom Breese
Location of the game: The Theater at Virgin Hotels, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Date & Time: April 12, 2024. 9 PM ET main card start
Where to Watch: ESPN+ / ESPN 2
Last Fight Record
Wilkinson is coming off an overturned fight against Thiago Santos over a year ago due to them both being banned from the PFL for the rest of the season because they tested positive for banned substances.
Breese is coming off a first-round submission win over Cleiton Silva at PFL Europe in an undercard bout at the 2023 finals.
Wilkinson vs. Breese Betting Analysis
Rob Wilkinson
Wilkinson is an American mixed martial artist with a professional record of 17-2, including 9 TKO/KO wins and 7 submissions. He was the 2022 PFL light heavyweight champion, along with earning titles beforehand in organizations like Australian Fight Championship, BRACE, and Hex Fight Series.
Wilkinson stands at 6’3″ and fights orthodox with an 80″ reach. He recorded an impressive 29 mph max punch speed in the PFL SmartCage in 2022, then he went on to go 2-0 in 2023 while winning the title and a $1 million payday.
Tom Breese
Breese is an English mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 18-4, including 5 TKO/KO wins and 12 submissions. He is an accomplished MMA fighter, earning three Performance of the Night bonuses in the UFC during his tenure with the company, along with titles in the BAMMA and the LFL (double champ). He is also a black belt in BJJ and trains at the talented Team Renegade in Birmingham, England.
Breese is a 6’3” southpaw with a 75” reach and a massive, athletic frame. He averaged 3.34 significant strikes landed per minute in the UFC and has gotten a lot better since leaving the company in 2021. Since parting ways with the UFC, Breese has gone 6-1 with 6 submission wins.
Updates
The PFL and ESPN are healthy and injury-free reports for this upcoming event.
Wilkinson vs. Breese Betting Preview
The Wilkinson vs Breese betting analysis can only help you so much because of the unknown factors for this bout. The PFL odds will tell us more about how we can expect this fight to possibly go down on Friday. We will also discuss the fighting styles of both guys.
Starting with the betting lines, Wilkinson is coming in as the -200 betting favorite over the newcomer. The Tom Breese betting odds have him as the +160 underdog. This bout is favored to end inside the distance at -400 as well. Staying informed on scores and odds throughout the PFL season is crucial for making informed wagers
Stylistically, both men are very big athletes with a lot of power and ability on the ground. Wilkinson is more of a top-pressure grappler with forward movement, and Breese likes to strike at range and is very dangerous off his back on the ground.
This will be a very interesting matchup between two respected veterans of the sport with experience at the highest level and both trying to make a name for themselves outside of the UFC Fights.
If you want to bet on Rob Wilkinson, you need to take note of his 9-month suspension in 2023. He tested positive for elevated testosterone levels and came clean, apologizing to his fans about making a mistake by trying to cheat with anabolic steroids. Will he be the same fighter he was in 2022?
Wilkinson vs. Breese Betting Prediction
After our Wilkinson vs Breese betting analysis and understanding the styles, this prediction is very difficult to make confidently.
Assuming both men go into Friday night healthy and ready to go, Wilkinson gets the slight edge between the two. But in this case, we are taking Breese to win this fight as an underdog. It’s a good spot to bet on an underdog on Friday night, something that’s rare to do on PFL cards.
You can also bet on this fight going to a decision at +300. This is a 15-minute fight and the clash of styles could certainly lead to a “boring” fight full of leg kicks and a lot of control time on the ground by both men.
- Pick 1: Breese ML +160
- Pick 2: Fight to end by decision +300.
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