Adam Piccolotti vs. Mansour Barnaoui Betting Analysis and Prediction

Bellator is going international this weekend as Bellator 287 has a thrilling lightweight match headlining the show on Saturday afternoon in the Allianz Cloud Arena in Milan, Italy.

This fight features Adam Piccolotti and Mansour Barnaoui clashing against each other here and should be an extremely close fight with tight Bellator MMA odds.  

Piccolotti vs. Barnaoui Last fight records

Adam Piccolotti is coming off of a unanimous decision victory back on February 19 against Georgi Karakhanyan on Bellator 274.

Mansour Barnaoui had a first-round rear naked choke submission against A-Sol Kwon back on May 18, 2019, at Road Fight Championship 53.

The big layoff for him will play a big role in the Piccolotti vs Barnaoui betting. 

Adam Piccolotti vs. Mansour Barnaoui Betting Analysis

This is definitely setting up for an interesting clash of styles, as both men have a lot of submission offensive moves with grappling backgrounds.

This being held overseas in Milan, Italy, is interesting, as well as Piccolotti is American, and Barnaoui is French, so the crowd should be up for grabs in this main event fight. 

Adam Piccolotti

“The Bomb” Adam Piccolotti is ready to take on this challenge at 34 years of age as he is entering with a 13-4 career MMA record.

He has been struggling a bit lately as he is 4-2 in his previous six fights but has been used to this level of competition as he has fought in Bellator since 2015.

He is known as a submission-based fighter, as six of his 13 career wins (46 percent) have come with a submission of some sort, as he uses a rear naked choke to finish off his opponents. 

Mansour Barnaoui

Mansour “The Afro-Samurai” Barnaoui is an extremely talented fighter as he has an impressive 19-4 record throughout his career and won his previous seven fights.

The only issue I have with him is the fact that his last fight was 41 months ago, and that is a long time to step away from the octagon.

Real Possibility

There is a real possibility that he is not the same fighter that he was when he was fighting more regularly. 

However, Piccolotti vs Barnaoui betting shows he has won 12 of his 19 victories (63 percent) via a submission hold, including five of his last six thanks to his rear naked choke doing its job.

It is difficult to back someone off of a huge layoff which makes him being one of your Bellator picks in this fight a much tougher thing to do. 


As of this writing, there has not been any signs of injury or sickness, so both fighters should be entering this fight at 100 percent. 

Piccolotti vs. Barnaoui Betting Preview

The betting odds for this fight are extremely close as Mansour Barnaoui is a slight favorite at -145 odds to win, while Adam Piccolotti is currently +115 to win this fight.

Now, it is time to see if Piccolotti vs Barnaoui betting is backing the favorite or the underdog.

Adam Piccolotti vs. Mansour Barnaoui Betting Prediction

Having a huge layoff is a giant red flag for me as that is 41 months that Mansour Baraoui has been out of action, and this is no easy fight against Adam Piccolotti as he can dominate throughout.

I am going to be questioning Barnaoui’s conditioning as the fight goes on, as each of Piccolotti’s previous five fights have gone into the second round with four going the distance.

Who to Bet On?

Barnaoui is going to have to prove a lot for me to believe he has a shot here as he has not fought at this level before either, as he is coming from Road FC while Piccolotti has been fighting Bellator talent for seven years now, and that level of competition has made him an extremely tough fighter in the division.

Go with Adam Piccolotti to win as one of the better MMA picks you can make this weekend, especially with the plus odds to win the fight. 

Bellator Pick: Adam Piccolotti to win (+115)

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