NBA Picks

New Orleans Pelicans at Phoenix Suns Betting Analysis and Predictions

With the injury to Devin Booker, the series between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Phoenix Suns got extremely interesting. Phoenix was able to win the first game when and he was injured, but then fell to the Pelicans and got completely outplayed in the second game he missed.

Phoenix finished with the best record in all of basketball throughout the regular season and it would be likely that they do get back to their old ways despite missing Booker. Obviously, it isn’t going to be as easy to get the job done without him, but the Suns that still have plenty of talent to do so with Chris Paul running the ship.

The Pelicans held Chris Paul to just four points in game 4 and got monster contributions out of Brandon Ingram and Jonas Valanciunas. Ingram finished the night with 30 points and Valanciunas finished with 26 points and 15 rebounds. In order for the New Orleans Pelicans to win this series, they need those guys to continue playing excellent basketball.

All of the statistical facts in this game that the sports betting guide shows backs up the big win from New Orleans in game 4.

Check out the Pelicans at Suns Betting Analysis below.

Last games records

The New Orleans Pelicans defeated the Phoenix Suns in game 4 to tie the series at 2-2, 118-103.

Matchup Information

Pelicans at Suns Betting Analysis

Suns Betting Analysis

When looking at the type of work that the Phoenix Suns were able to put in during the regular season, there should be no doubt that this team is going to bounce back and be able to take care of the New Orleans Pelicans. If Phoenix is as good as the regular season shows, they will still be able to win this series despite missing arguably their best player in Devin Booker.

The one thing to keep an eye on here is if Phoenix is going to have enough scoring to overcome Brandon Ingram and some of the other guys on the Pelicans. 

Devin Booker is the type of guy that can go out and score 30 points every single night and now Phoenix has to find a way to replace that. Although there can certainly be an argument made that Chris Paul is their best player, Devin Booker is certainly their best scorer, which is a huge gap for them to fill.

The Pelicans shot 42 free throws compared to the Suns’ fifteen and also got outrebounded by 9. No team is ever going to win when they give up 42 free throws.

Pelicans Betting Analysis

Considering that Brandon Ingram has been playing like the best player in the series between the two teams, there can certainly be an argument made that the New Orleans Pelicans are going to be able to shock the world and take down the number one seeded Phoenix Suns. The one way that the Pelicans are going to beat the Suns outside of Brandon Ingram being the best player in the series is continuing to get to the free-throw line at a high rate.

Getting to the free-throw line 42 times in game 5 that will be taking place in Phoenix isn’t going to be an easy task considering the referees will probably have a heavy whistle for Phoenix, but the Pelicans have to continue being aggressive to the basket and allowing themselves to get fouled to set themselves up for free points.

They did a great job of not fouling in this one as Phoenix ended the game with 28 fouls and New Orleans only had 16. They had four fewer turnovers and also had seven more offensive rebounds. New Orleans played a flawless game and was rewarded for it.


Denver Booker will most likely miss the remainder of the series with a hamstring injury.

Let’s look at the betting stats NBA.

Phoenix is 46-40 ATS this season.

New Orleans is 45-29-1 ATS this season.

After a win, New Orleans is 19-19-1 ATS this season.

As the home favorite, Phoenix is 20-22-0 ATS this season.

After a loss, Phoenix is 10-9 ATS this season.

Pelicans at Suns Betting Preview

The current NBA betting odds have the Phoenix Suns as a 7-point favorite against the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans are +220 on the money line and the over/under is going to be 215.5

Pelicans at Suns Betting Prediction 

New Orleans is going to have a difficult time going into Phoenix and beating the Suns at the Footprint Center. That place is going to be rocking and despite not having Devin Booker, Phoenix should be able to find a way to walk away with this win outright. However, the play of the day is going to be taking the New Orleans Pelicans with the +7 spread.

The Pelicans have done a great job all series and it truly looks like something did click for this team on Sunday. If they can go out and get a repeat performance of what they were able to do in game 4, not only will they be able to cover the spread, but they have a legitimate chance of taking a 3-2 series lead.

Take New Orleans +7 for our NBA picks.

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