One of the more intriguing upcoming UFC fights this weekend is this co-main event bout between light heavyweights Ryan Spann and Bogdan Guskov. Spann has lost two top-10 fights in a row and is now playing gatekeeper to the new man in town. Who will the referee declare the winner?
Spann vs.Guskov Picks
- Pick 1: Spann to win inside (-160)
- Pick 2: Spann wins in Round 2 (+500)
Read more for an official Spann vs Guskov prediction, along with any Spann vs Guskov best bets to make this weekend.
Spann vs. Guskov Information
Ryan Spann vs Bogdan Guskov
Location of the game: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Date & Time: April 27, 2024. 7 PM ET main card start
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Last Fight Record
Spann is coming off a narrow split-decision loss to Anthony Smith last August.
Guskov is fresh off a first-round KO win over Zac Pauga in February.
Spann vs. Guskov Betting Analysis
Ryan Spann
Ryan Spann is an American mixed martial artist with a professional record of 21-9, including 6 TKO/KO wins and 12 submissions so far at the age of 32. He won championships in the Hero FC and LFA promotions before earning his UFC contract at Dana White’s Contender Series in 2018. Even though over half of his wins are submissions, Spann is reportedly still a blue belt in BJJ.
Spann, a massive 6’5” orthodox fighter, has a 79” reach. Averaging only 5:22 of fight time in the octagon, he lands 3.42 significant strikes per minute and absorbs 3.91. He adds 1.29 takedowns per 15 minutes and a 1.5 submission average as well.
Bogdan Guskov
Guskov is a Uzbek professional mixed martial artist with a 15-3 record, including a 100% finish rate with 13 KO/TKO wins and 2 submissions. He has been training since he was 8 years old, accumulating an impressive collection of ranks and titles: Master of Sports in boxing, Master of Sports in MMA, silver medalist in K-1 Moscow, Uzbek MMA champion, brown belt in BJJ, and a Uzbek national championship in kickboxing. He has the necessary skills and tools to excel as a great MMA fighter in the UFC.
As a 6’3” orthodox striker, Guskov has a reach of 76 inches. In his two UFC bouts, Guskov averages 2.43 significant strikes landed and 5.81 absorbed per minute. He also currently has a 66% takedown defense.
Updates
No reports of injuries have reached the UFC or ESPN.
Spann vs. Guskov Betting Preview
To find out what the Spann vs Guskov best bets are this weekend, you will need to understand both the betting lines and the styles of both fighters. Styles make fights as betting lines make bets.
According to the current UFC odds, Spann is going into the weekend as a -190 betting favorite over the +165 Guskov. This bout is massively favored to end inside the distance at -1000 and the u1.5 round line is -275–meaning that oddsmakers fully expect this fight to end shortly.
With that being said, Spann’s best bets are always for short nights in the cage. He is very aggressive and that leads to him either winning or losing quickly. Another betting trend that fits into this matchup is how bad it’s gone for the majority of new fighters from across the pond who have been pushed into the top of the heavier divisions in recent years. But again, it’s not that easy because styles make fights.
Stylistically, both of these guys are very aggressive–sometimes to a fault. Spann has an exciting style where he will go into harm’s way to grapple and aggressively chase submissions, along with having legitimate power in his hands because of how great of an athlete he is.
Bagdan Guskov has a violent kickboxing style where he darts into range to land heavy shots, but he has his hands down at his waist the majority of the time.
Spann vs Guskov Best Bets and Prediction
Whenever you see Spann on the UFC fight schedule, you should be circling it and tuning into his fight. He is a great athlete and the fight can end at any moment.
Given this, we are choosing Spann to have his hand raised, facing an opponent not ready for such a high level of competition. The size and speed of Spann are dangerous and if you are going to have your hands down in front of him, it won’t end well.
The Spann vs Guskov best bets are taking Spann to win inside the distance at -160 or Spann wins in round 2 at +500.
- Pick 1: Spann to win inside (-160)
- Pick 2: Spann wins in Round 2 (+500)
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