The Western Conference playoff race is incredibly tight, and every game on the NBA schedule is going to count for the teams involved. One such game includes the Minnesota Timberwolves visiting the Dallas Mavericks on Monday.
After some shuffling at the NBA trade deadline, here is where both teams stand entering the game that fans should know before making Timberwolves vs Mavericks betting picks.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks Odds
The NBA odds today show the Timberwolves are underdogs by 7.5 points and +240 on the moneyline with an over/under of 231 points. The Dallas Mavericks odds are -300 on the moneyline.
NBA matchups history shows that the Mavericks have 76 wins, and the Timberwolves have 55 wins in 131 regular season. Dallas won by five on the road on December 21, 2022, two days after the Timberwolves won 116-106.
Some helpful recent betting trends to determine Timberwolves vs Mavericks betting picks show the under is 4-0 in the last four meetings, though the over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Dallas, where the Mavericks are 4-1 against the spread in that same span.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks Information
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks
Location of the Game: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX.
Date and Time: Monday, February 13, 2023, 8:30 PM ET.
How to Watch: NBA League Pass | Bally Sports Network
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks Analysis
Minnesota Timberwolves Performance Recap and Analysis
If recent history serves, the Timberwolves are due for a win. Over their last seven games, they have alternated wins and losses. They are eighth in the Western Conference, though the Minnesota Timberwolves standings could change with a win as they are 1.5 games behind the Mavericks and Phoenix Suns, who are tied for fourth.
At the trade deadline, the Wolves traded away D’Angelo Russell and acquired veteran guard Mike Conley Jr. The front office hopes that the pairing with newly minted center Rudy Gobert works out better than it did with Russell.
NBA stats show that the Timberwolves are 10th offensively in scoring 115.7 points per game and fourth in converting 49.2% of field goal attempts. They are 16th in making 35.8% of 3-point shots and 22nd in making 77.2% of free throws. They are 27th in rebounding at 41.2 per game.
Defensively, Minnesota is 19th in allowing 115.7 points per game, 11th in allowing a 47.0% conversion rate on field goal attempts, and 25th in allowing opponents to make 36.8% of 3-point shots. The Wolves are 24th in allowing 44.5 rebounds per game.
Minnesota Timberwolves Key Injuries
Part of the team’s issues, though, are that star center Karl-Anthony Towns has played in 21 games and remains out indefinitely with a calf injury. Gobert is questionable with a groin injury, and veteran forward Kyle Anderson is questionable with a back injury.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Trends to Know
This season, the Timberwolves are 28-31 against the spread and 28-30-1 on over/unders. They are 10-17 straight up on the road. As underdogs, they are 16-15 against the spread, including 2-3 against the spread when underdogs of 7.5 points or more. They are 6-9 on the road against teams with a winning record.
Dallas Mavericks Performance Recap and Analysis
The Mavericks have won five of their last seven, with an overtime loss at Sacramento on Saturday and a loss by six at Golden State on Feb.4. The Mavericks are fourth in the Western Conference standings and sit 1.5 games behind the Kings and 1.5 games ahead of the play-in tournament.
The big move at the trade deadline was to acquire point guard Kyrie Irving for veterans Spencer Dinwiddie and Dorian Finney-Smith. So far, the pairing with Luka Doncic has worked well for the Mavs, as seen by some highlights in passing and a putback dunk by Doncic.
The Mavericks are 21st in scoring 112.9 points per game, 16th in making 47.2% of field goal attempts, and 11th in converting 36.5% of 3-point shots. They are 26th in making 74.8% of free throws and last in the league with 38.9 rebounds per game.
Defensively, they are ninth in allowing 112.2 points per game and 24th in allowing a 48.1% success rate on field goal attempts. Opponents shoot 35.2% on 3-point shots, which ranks 10th defensively, and rebound 43.8 times per game, 19th defensively.
In three games with the Mavericks, NBA player stats show Irving is averaging 25.7 points, 7.3 assists, and 3.3 rebounds per game while converting 42.3% of 3-point shots.
Dallas Mavericks Key Injuries
Forwards Davis Bertans (calf) and Maxi Kleber (hamstring) remain out until late February, which has cost the Mavericks some floor spacing and size disadvantages. Tim Hardaway Jr. is questionable with a hamstring issue.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends to Know
The Mavericks are 22-34-2 against the spread and 32-26 on over/unders this season. They are 19-9 straight up at home. Dallas is 13-25-1 against the spread as favorites, including 5-19-1 when favored by five points or more. The Mavs are 7-9-1 at home against NBA teams with a winning record.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Picks
Moneyline: Mavericks -300; Dallas will have the two best players on the floor, so there is no reason for them to lose.
Spread: Timberwolves +7.5; Just going off the betting data from this season, and with the pace, the Mavericks play with, the Timberwolves may not have to do much to keep it close as long as Gobert plays.
Over/Under Total: Under 231; There have been four straight unders, and May 16, 2021, was the last time these teams went over 231, and Dallas’ pacing is everything.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks Score Predictions
This game has the potential to be incredibly boring for two contending teams. Each have some major flaws. The Timberwolves find ways to keep games close, though, and so do the Mavericks because of their style.
Those making NBA picks today show 67% of bets are on the Mavericks, and 70% are on the over. We feel good going opposite the public with our Timberwolves vs Mavericks betting picks because that is generally how Vegas makes its money.
This could be very entertaining down the stretch, so let’s hope for a good game.
NBA Pick: Dallas Mavericks 108, Minnesota Timberwolves 103
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