The TCU Horned Frogs finished with a 5-7 record last season, going 3-6 in the Big 12 conference. The Horned Frogs haven’t played in a Bowl game since 2018 after winning at least eleven games three times from 2014-2017.
The Colorado Buffaloes finished last season with a 4-8 record and 3-6 in Pac-12 conference play. Colorado is now 4-10 since starting the Karl Dorell era in 2020 with four consecutive wins. Continue reading for some key Horned Frogs vs. Buffaloes Betting stats
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Colorado Buffaloes Betting Stats
TCU Horned Stats
First-year head coach Sonny Dykes will be without Zach Evans, the team’s leading running back. His replacement will be Kendre Miller, the sophomore who was just 25 yards behind Evans last season for the TCU Horned Frogs with more touchdowns and yards per carry.
The offense for the Horned Frogs is a strong starting point to start your research on for the Horned Frogs vs. Buffaloes Betting Stats.
TCU’s Offense
TCU’s offense was ninth last season in third down conversion rate, averaging 6.7 yards per play. Unfortunately, TCU was 86th in red zone touchdown percentage and only managed 28.7 points per game.
Dykes will have a quarterbacks competition with Max Duggan and talented redshirt freshman Chandler Morris who will have three 30+ catch receivers returning and a top 20 ranked wide receiver in Jordan Hudson from this year’s wide receiver class.
Dykes also brought over his co-offensive coordinators from SMU Mustangs whose offenses scored, more than 38 PPG the past two seasons so there’s a lot to be optimistic about offensively.
Dykes has brought in Joe Gillespie to improve the TCU defense that allowed 35 points per game last season.
Defensive Coordinator
Gillespie is the former defensive coordinator at Tulsa and a multiple-time semifinalist for the best defensive coordinator of the year.
Tulsa’s defense only allowed 3.9 and 3.6 yards per carry the last two seasons under Gillespie who will look to fix a dense that allowed 5.8 yards per carry and 7.2 yards per play last season.
Colorado Buffaloes Stats
Starting quarterback Brandon Lewis returns this season for the Colorado Buffaloes after starting every game last season. Lewis was decent with 10 touchdowns and 3 interceptions but only threw for 1,540 yards with a 58% completion rate.
The Buffaloes bring in a talented backfield with Alex Fontenot and Deion Smith but will be without leading rusher Jarek Brousard.
Interior Line Staters
With tight end Brady Russell and three interior line starters returning, the offense should be better than their 18.8 points per game last season.
The Buffaloes were able to put together an impressive stretch late last season on defense, including a 34-0 shutout victory over Arizona.
Five starters will be returning from last year’s unit, including:
- Terrance Lang
- Jalen Sami
- senior Isaiah Lewis
At strong safety. The defense of Colorado should be able to keep the Buffaloes competitive in most games.
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Colorado Buffaloes Betting Trends
Trends are not the end all be all but should be taken into consideration when making your NCAAF picks.
TCU Horned Frogs Betting Trends
- 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games.
- 2-8 vs. non-ranked teams in their last 10 against the spread.
- 18-31-1 against the spread as the favorite in their last 50 games.
Colorado Buffaloes Betting Trends
- 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 games as a double-digit underdog
- 5-2 against the spread in season openers in their last 7 seasons
- 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games at home in September
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Colorado Buffaloes Betting Prediction
As with any sport, always look around for the best NCAAF odds when looking to bet at any sportsbook.
Looking at the Horned Frogs vs. Buffaloes betting stats and trends, my research led me to take the Buffaloes +14.
My model actually has the Buffaloes winning this game 43 out of 100 times. The defense of colorado will keep this game close and the Horned Frogs will not be able to cover the 13.5 point spread.
NCAAF Pick: Buffaloes +14 (-110)
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