Week 11 brings another exciting Week of NFL matchups as the New York Jets (6-3) and the New England Patriots (5-4) square off for an AFC East showdown at Gillette Stadium. Both teams enter this week well-rested as they are coming off their bye weeks and find themselves in the playoff picture in the NFL standings. The Jets have won five of their last six matchups, including a win over the Bills 20-17 in Week Nine. Meanwhile, the Patriots have also put a nice streak together, winning four of their last five games, with a win over the Colts 26-3 in Week Nine. Continue reading below to get our best Jets vs Patriots Spread and much more.
The stakes are high with a tight AFC division race; both teams will look to grab a victory. According to the NFL injury report, both teams are missing a few pieces from their last matchup. It will be interesting to see who will cover the Jets vs Patriots spread. Can the Jets grab a share of first place? Will the Patriots continue their hot streak? Let’s take a look at the best bets in this matchup.
New York Jets Season Forecast
Coming out of their NFL schedule with a bye week, the New York Jets hold a record of 6-3 and are still the top wild card in the AFC. In Week 11, the Jets have a significant opportunity. If the Jets can upset the Patriots on Sunday, they will move into first place in the AFC East and put themselves in the running for the conference’s No. 2 seed since the Miami Dolphins are off this week. A victory would also raise their conference record to 6-3, which would significantly improve their overall playoff chances.
In New York’s shocking 20-17 victory over the Bills in Week Nine, the Jets’ defense surrendered 17 scores while recording five sacks and two interceptions.
The New York Jets stats have been strong on both sides of the ball, but the backbone of this club has been the Jets’ defense. Despite falling behind 14-0 early in their last game, they dug in and limited the Bills to only three scores in the second half. The Jets’ defense, which has surprised everyone in the NFL outside of the Jets themselves, is led by Sauce Gardner, who intercepted Allen. They have a top-ten defense in terms of points, passing, and yards allowed (10th).
Moneyline
Opening Line
The Jets opened up as +185 underdogs for their road matchup against the Patriots.
How the Line Has Moved and Why
Since the opening moneyline, the Jets’ line has moved to +145 thanks to the Jets undefeated record on the road.
What Make Lose the Bet
This bet loses if the New York Jets offense does not show up in Foxborough.
Spread Line
Opening Line
When it comes to NFL odds on the spread, the opening line saw the Jets as +5 (-110) road underdogs.
How the Line Has Moved and Why
The line has since moved to +3, as the Jets are a perfect 4-0 ATS on the road this season.
What Make Lose the Bet
This bet loses if the Jets go to New England and fail to win or lose by more than three points.
Total
Opening Line
The total for this matchup opened 41 points (-110).
How the Line Has Moved and Why
The line has since shrunk all the way down to 38.5 points (-110) thanks to the strong defensive numbers on both sides and the impending cold weather in Foxborough.
What Make Lose the Bet
This bet loses if both teams combine to go Over or Under the total.
New York Jets Betting Trend to Know
Six times this season, the Jets have won against the spread (6-3-0). The Jets have a 5-3 record against the spread in games this season when they are underdogs by three points or more. In their last six contests, New York has covered the spread five times. In terms of the total, games involving the Jets have gone Under six times this year, including going Under the number four times in their last four contests,
New England Patriots Season Forecast
By outplaying the Indianapolis Colts 26-3, the New England Patriots defeated them to slide into the AFC playoff picture. The Patriots are arguably coming off their most dominant win of the season their last time out, as the defense picked off Sam Ehlinger and sacked him nine times while holding the Colts’ NFL team stats to just 121 yards of total offense.
The New England Patriots season records have always been stellar. However, this team has really fought hard to find themselves in the playoff picture. In fact, New England has been on an absolute tear in recent weeks. They come into this week 11 battle, having won four of their last five contests while covering the spread five times in six games.
Overall, there has definitely been a regression in NFL player stats on offense this year for the Patriots, as they have battled some injuries during the 2022 campaign. The Patriots’ offense averages 319.9 yards per game, which puts them in 26th in the NFL; they also score 22.6 points per game, which puts them in 14th. Defensively is where they thrive, as they are sixth in points allowed (18.4) and 13th in yards surrendered (325).
Moneyline
Opening Line
The opening line for the Patriots has been listed at -225 as home favorites.
How the Line Has Moved and Why
The line has since shifted to -170 as a testament to the Jets’ strong road numbers.
What Make Lose the Bet
Ultimately this bet loses if the Patriots fail to defend the Jets and lose the game.
Spread Line
Opening Line
When it comes to the Jets vs Patriots spread, the New England Patriots line opened at -5 (-110) on the spread.
How the Line Has Moved and Why
Since the line opened at -5, it has shifted to -3 thanks to betters who are backing New York’s strong road record.
What Make Lose the Bet
This bet loses if the Patriots fail to win this matchup by at least three points.
Total
Opening Line
The total for this matchup has opened at 41 points (-110).
How the Line Has Moved and Why
The line has since shifted to 38.5 points because both of these teams boast top-ten defenses.
What Make Lose the Bet
This bet loses if both teams combine to go Over or Under the total.
New England Patriots Betting Trend to Know
When it comes to the Jets vs Patriots spread, the Patriots have an overall record of 5-3-1 against the spread and a recent record of 5-1 ATS in their previous six games. Out of their nine games, the Under has hit five times in terms of the Over/Under. The Under has also been successful in three of their previous five games. The Patriots had a 7-2 (77.8%) record while playing as a moneyline favorite at odds of -170 or less.
Most Profitable Players of this Matchup to Bet On
Zach Wilson Under Passing Yards
-The Jets quarterback has been a great bet for under betters as the second-year QB has gone Under the set passing yard total in four of his last five games. He has also failed to top 210 in four of his six starts this year.
Michael Carter Over Rushing Yards
– The Patriots defense picked off Zach Wilson three times the last time these two teams met in East Rutherford. With that being said, I expect the Jets to focus on running the ball. Michael Carter took over as the lead back last week, and he was productive, totaling 76 yards and averaging over six yards a carry. Expect him to go over the rushing yards number next week.
Rahamondre Stevenson Under Rushing Yards
-Stevenson leads the squad in rushing yards with 558 (69.8 per game) and four touchdowns so far this season. Be that as it may, he should lose plenty of carries with lead rushing back Damien Harris entering the fold once again from injury. Additionally, Stevenson has gone over his rushing yard total just once this season.
Odds Breakdown
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