NFL Week 16 brings us one of the NFL matchups that puts one of the most storied QBs in history against a young up-and-comer who hopes to have the same type of legacy by the time he is Rodgers’ age.
Tua vs Rodgers, with playoff implications on the line, what could be a better Christmas present?
Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins Game Info and Analysis
Matchup Info
- Date: Sunday, December 25, 2022
- Time: 1:00 p.m.
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
- Location: Miami, Florida
- How to Watch: Fox
The Green Bay Packers come into this one on a bit of a hot streak as they look to insert themselves in playoff discussions.
While the Miami Dolphins, who’ve been in discussions, seek another win to give them some more security in their playoff position.
Green Bay Packers Performance Recap and Analysis
The Packers find themselves coming off a 24-12 win over the LA Rams. If you can get past the fact that Green Bay was playing a 4-9 team who was playing with a QB who wasn’t part of the team system a month prior, then the Packers played well.
This puts the Packers on a two-game win streak, albeit against subpar opponents.
An Uncharacteristically Bad Year
The Packers have had an uncharacteristically bad year, as the team is putting up middle-of-the-road NFL team stats ranking 15th in Points allowed, Yards allowed, and yards earned while ranking 20th in the league in points scored.
Part of the offense’s problem is that Aaron Rodgers isn’t putting up the NFL player stats we are used to seeing from him, as he currently has the 28th-best QBR in the league sitting at 40.8.
Key Injuries
Aaron Jones has been limited at practices this week. It would be a big hit to the Packers not to have their number one back. Jones is a name to keep an eye on, as he is listed as questionable on the NFL injury report.
Betting Trends to Know
The Packers are 6-8 against the spread this year.
Miami Dolphins Performance Recap and Analysis
If you take a look at the NFL standings, you may be surprised to see the Miami Dolphins maintaining their playoff spot.
Their 8-6 record is much cleaner than many Miami Dolphins records in years past, and many believe this could be the start of a new era in Miami.
Dolphins’ Offense
Meanwhile, the Dolphins are just trying to secure themselves a postseason berth, and every game counts.
The Dolphins have a killer offense that ranks 9th in scoring and 5th in yards gained per game. They are currently averaging 6.2 yards a play and 2.9 TDs a game if you can believe that.
Dolphins’ Defense
The defense, on the other hand, is causing the Dolphins some pain, currently ranked 26th in the league in points allowed per game and 23rd in yards allowed.
The Dolphins have the weapons to play in the postseason, but it could be a short trip to the playoffs if they can’t get their defense to perform better.
Key Injuries
River Cracraft and Jeff Wilson Jr. are both listed as questionable, with limitations to practice early on in the week. Look for at least one of these offensive weapons to be able to play come Sunday.
Betting Trends to Know
The Dolphins are 7-7 against the spread this year.
Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins Odds
The NFL odds have the Miami Dolphins as -3.5 favorites against the spread, with their moneyline being priced at -195. The Green Bay Packers odds sit at +165, with the point total being set at 49.5
Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Picks
- Moneyline
You don’t need an NFL expert picks to know that Miami should be able to come into this one and get it done. Especially after their showing against Buffalo last week, which many consider being one of the best teams in the league currently.
I just don’t see a world where Green Bay’s offense can keep up with the high-powered Miami offense.
NFL Pick: Dolphins (-200)
- Over/Under (U 49.5)
Green Bay’s offense has been too inconsistent. I need more solid showings without a bye week in between to fully buy-in.
Personally, I won’t be betting on this point total, but my Packers vs Dolphins prediction has the under-hitting.
NFL Pick: Under 50 (-110)
- Spread
A couple of good performances from the Packers have made this line closer than I think it should be. I have Miami easily covering 3.5 in my Packers vs Dolphins prediction.
NFL Pick: Dolphins -4 (-110)
Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins Score Prediction
My Packers vs Dolphins prediction is that Miami will jump out to an early lead and never look back. I have the Dolphins winning this one dominantly, 27-17.