The Dallas Stars and Chicago Blackhawks have very different plans this spring: Dallas is a contender to have a deep run in the Stanley Cup playoffs. Meanwhile, Chicago hopes they get the number one pick and Connor Bedard in the NHL draft. However, it’s Chicago riding a three-game winning streak into Wednesday night, while Dallas is on a four-game losing streak.
We’ll review the stats, trends, and Blackhawks vs Stars odds before finding the best NHL picks today from this matchup.
Chicago Blackhawks vs. Dallas Stars Odds
Before we analyze the stats and trends, we need to review where the Blackhawks vs Stars odds and betting records.
Unsurprisingly, NHL odds have the Dallas Stars as enormous moneyline favorites, listed between -400 and -440. The Chicago Blackhawks are listed between +310 and +330. The Stars have a 30-27 straight-up record, while the Blackhawks are 19-37 straight-up.
The total goals line is set to 6.0 on most online sportsbooks, but there are a few outliers, with the game listed at 5.5. Using a total goals line of 6.0, the over is listed between -105 and -110, while the under is listed from -110 to -115. Chicago has a 29-26-1 over/under record, while Dallas has a 19-35-3 over/under record.
Most NHL matchups have a puck line spread set at 1.5 goals. Occasionally, games with significant scoring mismatches -think along the lines of the Edmonton Oilers vs Columbus Blue Jackets – will see a puck line spread of 2.5. We have two different spread lines to consider from today’s Blackhawks vs Stars odds.
The Stars have odds between -145 and -159 with a -1.5 goal spread and odds from +110 to +115 with a -2.5 goal spread. The Blackhawks are listed from +125 to +140 at a 1.5 goal spread, with odds between -140 and -144 at +2.5.
Dallas has a 30-27 ats record, while Chicago is 26-30 ats.
Chicago Blackhawks vs. Dallas Stars Matchup Information
Chicago Blackhawks vs Dallas Stars
Location of the Game: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
Date and Time: Wednesday, February 22nd, 2023, 9:30 PM ET
How to Watch: TNT | NBC Sports Chicago
Chicago Blackhawks vs. Dallas Stars Betting Preview
This Blackhawks vs Stars matchup on the NHL schedule today is only the second meeting between Central division rivals this season.
The Stars won the first game 6-4 on home ice on November 23rd, 2022.
Chicago Blackhawks
If you are checking the Chicago Blackhawks schedule, you are likely checking to see recent results or, if you are a fan, how many games are left before hope springs anew with the draft lottery at the end of the season. Chicago enters Wednesday night with a 19-32-5 record, ranked last in the Central Division and 30th in the NHL standings. They are two points ahead of Columbus and Anaheim for last place.
However, the Blackhawks have won three-straight games and have a 5-5 record in the last ten games. Chicago has hit the over in three of the last five games but has a 5-5 over/under record in the last ten. The Blackhawks have an 0-5 record in the last five games against the Stars.
Chicago has some of the worst team NHL stats in the league.
Chicago Blackhawks’ Offense and Defense Rankings and Statistics.
Offensively, the Blackhawks are ranked 31st, averaging 2.46 goals per game, while having the 26th-ranked powerplay, converting at 17.3%. Defensively, Chicago is giving up 3.59 goals per game. They are ranked 27th overall, and has the 21st-ranked penalty kill operating at 17.3%.
How much longer Max Domi will lead the Chicago Blackhawks in NHL player stats is uncertain, with Domi being a potential trade target and the deadline approaching fast. Domi leads the Blackhawks with 43 points (15 goals, 28 assists) and has eight points in the last five games.
The Blackhawks have a lengthy NHL injury report featuring goalie Alex Stalock and center Jonathan Toews, who is dealing with long-Covid issues.
We expect Jaxson Stauber to get the start for Chicago. Stauber has a 4-1-0 record, a 2.77 GAA, and a .912 SV%.
Dallas Stars
After losing four games in a row, three of which were close, the Dallas Stars standings lead in the Central Division is under threat. The Winnipeg Jets are one point behind the Stars for the lead.
Dallas has a 3-7 record in the last ten games and a 0-10 over/under record. The under is 5-0 in Dallas’ last five games against the Central Division and the Western Conference overall.
The Stars are ranked 14th, averaging 3.21 goals per game, while having the 12th-ranked powerplay, operating at 22.9%.
Dallas Stars’ Offense and Defense Rankings and Statistics
While Dallas’ offensive stats are average, the squad’s defense stats are very impressive and among the NHL’s best. Dallas gives up 2.54 goals per game, ranking second in the NHL. Also, they have the fourth-best penalty-killing unit, operating at 83.6%.
Jason Robertson leads the Stars in NHL player stats with 71 points (34 goals, 37 assists) and has four points in the last five games.
We expect Dallas’ number-one goalie Jake Oettinger to get the start against Chicago, although this could be a game where backup Scott Wedgewood (7-8-3, 2.92 GAA, .913SV%) gets some action. If Oettinger does get the start, he has a 23-7-9 record, a 2.20 GAA, and a .926 SV%.
Chicago Blackhawks vs. Dallas Stars Betting Picks
We’ve reviewed the stats, trends, and Blackhawks vs Stars odds, and now we need to make our NHL picks. However, we have some final over/under betting trends to consider: the favorite is 5-0 in the last five meetings, while the over is 4-0 in the last four games in Dallas and 9-1 in the last ten games.
Our first pick is to take the Dallas Stars to win on the moneyline, despite the astronomical odds with no substantial value.
Our second pick is to take the under of 6.0 total goals. Yes, the recent history between these two NHL teams is filled with games hitting the over. However, recent on-ice performances suggest this Stars squad will keep this a lower-scoring game and continue their incredible run of hitting the under.
Our final pick is far simpler than choosing between the two puck line spread lines in the Blackhawks vs Stars odds: take the Blackhawks to cover the spread at +2.5, while you should take Dallas at -1.5. A puck line spread of 2.5 is rare and hard to hit at the best of times, and we don’t think Dallas wins by more than two goals.
While Dallas’ last two wins ended with at least a 2.5-goal spread, the Blackhawks should keep this to a two-goal game in the end.
On the normal puck line spread, we’re taking the Stars at -1.5 on the more prevalent puck line spread.
- NHL Picks: Dallas Stars ML, Chicago +2.5/Dallas -1.5, Under
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