While the women’s draw at the 2024 Australian Open has been wildly unpredictable, the men’s draw has almost played out exactly as expected, leaving tennis fans with what should be a tremendous match in the first of two semi-finals: Novak Djokovic vs. Jannik Sinner. Djokovic is a 10-time Australian Open champion and world No. 1, somehow still getting better into his late-30s, while Sinner is arguably the hottest player in the sport right now.
Djokovic vs Sinner Picks
- Pick: Sinner +175
Let’s take a closer look at the Djokovic vs Sinner betting analysis.
Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner Information
Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
Location of the game: Rod Laver Arena in Melbourne, Australia
Date & Time: Thursday, January 25 at TBD
How to Watch: ESPN and TSN (Canada)
Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner Recent Scores
Djokovic, who has been favored in Australian Open odds since the tournament began last week, hasn’t exactly been as dominant as usual but has done enough to make it to this point. The 36-year-old has been so good historically in Melbourne that it’s considered somewhat of a surprise that he has dropped three sets through his first five matches, including one in his quarter-final win over American Taylor Fritz. He needed four sets to win each of his first two matches but easily disposed of Tomas Etcheverry and Adrian Mannarino in the Round of 32 and 16.
Sinner, meanwhile, enters the Djokovic vs. Sinner betting analysis with much better tennis stats than Djokovic. He has yet to drop a set through five matches and is coming off of a 6-4, 7-6 (5), 6-3 win over Andrey Rublev. Jannik had 10 aces, won 75 percent of points on first serve, and was 2-of-7 in breakpoint opportunities. He has also beaten Karen Khachanov, Sebastian Baez, Jesper de Jong, and Botic van de Zandschulp.
Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner Betting Analysis
Djokovic Chasing 11th Australian Open Title
Outside of Rafael Nadal, there’s nobody in the history of the sport who has had as much success in any of the four grand slam tennis events than Djokovic at the Australian Open. The 10-time winner is the defending champion and is favored in every in which he competes for good reason. He won three grand slams last season along with the Nitto ATP Finals, beating Sinner 6-3, 6-3 in the championship match.
Djokovic is 4-2 in six career matches against Sinner, but 1-2 against him on hard courts. Djokovic, however, has lost just three matches on outdoor hard courts dating back to the 2022 season, with a combined record of 36-3. He has won 33 consecutive matches at the Australian Open.
Sinner Poised for Grand Slam Breakout
While Sinner’s dominance down under might be a surprise to some, it’s hardly a shock for those who have paid close attention over the last few months. The 22-year-old Italian helped lead his country to a Davis Cup championship near the end of 2023. He also won four titles in 2023 and fared well in the Nitto ATP Finals, beating Djokovic in the round-robin. Sinner also beat Djokovic in the Davis Cup and has won two of his last three matches against the world No. 1. He’s 2-4 overall against Djokovic.
Despite his incredible 2023 season, Sinner has yet to experience grand slam success. He’s into just his second career grand slam semi-final and has never made a final. His past victories over Djokovic, combined with the difference in time on court, could be critical factors for his success. Sinner has been on court for just over 10 hours, whereas Djokovic’s matches have lasted a combined 15 hours and 9 minutes.
Updates
Djokovic entered the Australian Open with a nagging wrist injury and has battled illness throughout the tournament, but that shouldn’t really impact tennis predictions for the Djokovic vs. Sinner betting analysis.
Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner Betting Preview
Djokovic is the betting favorite in the first of the two men’s semi-finals. He has -225 moneyline odds with match handicap odds of -3.5 (-125) games. The total is 39.5. Sinner is a +175 moneyline underdog. Other tennis odds include Djokovic to win in straight sets (+240) and Sinner to win in four sets (+600).
Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner Betting Prediction
Streaks are meant to come to an end and if there’s ever a player ready to topple Djokovic at the Australian Open it’s Sinner. He’s playing like a man possessed right now and should be confident knowing that he has two wins against Djokovic in their last three matches.
- Pick: Sinner +175.
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