Fresh off of a successful UFC 301 event in Brazil, the show goes on in St. Louis this weekend on the UFC fight schedule. A great matchup to bet on and enjoy is this heavyweight bout between two highly-touted prospects, Waldo Cortes Acosta and Robelis Despaigne.
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Fighgt Details and Betting Picks
Cortes vs. Despaigne Information
Location of the game: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, USA
Date and Time: May 1, 2024, 16:00 ET Main card start
Where to Watch: ESPN+ PPV
Cortes vs. Despaigne Picks
- Pick: Take Despaigne by KO in round 1 at -115
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Continue reading for the official Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Robelis Despaigne betting prediction before you place any UFC bets this weekend.
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Last Fight Record
Acosta is coming off a unanimous decision victory over the legendary Andrei Arlovski in January.
Despaigne is making his second UFC appearance, coming off an impressive 18-second KO win over Josh Parisian at UFC 299.
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Acosta vs. Despaigne Betting Analysis
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Acosta is a Dominican mixed martial artist with a professional record of 11-1, including 5 wins by TKO/KO and 1 submission. He is a Dana White’s Contender Series alum in 2022, with a 4-1 UFC record since. He is a former LFA heavyweight champion who won the RUF amateur championship as well. Before becoming a fighter, he was a baseball prospect in the Cincinnati Reds organization.
At 32 years old, Acosta stands 6’4” and fights in the orthodox stance with a 78” reach. He will still be the smaller man in this matchup, which is important to remember when making a Waldo Cortes Acosta prediction. In the octagon, he averages 6.13 significant strikes landed and 4.02 absorbed per minute. He holds a takedown defense of 60% as well going into this weekend.
Robelis Despaigne
Despaigne is a Cuban mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 5-0 with all 5 wins coming by KO in the first round–including 4 in a row that haven’t gone past 18 seconds. He comes from a Taekwondo background, winning medals at the 2012 Olympic Games and World Championships in 2013 and 2015. He made his MMA debut in 2022 and has shown dominance up to this point.
The records list Despaigne as a 6’7” orthodox striker with an 87” reach, the longest in UFC history. At 35 years old, he has plenty of time to reach the highest level of heavyweight MMA. With only 18 seconds in the octagon, Robelis Despaigne’s betting trends and statistics are impossible to take seriously. According to UFC stats, he averages over 23 significant strikes landed per minute.
Updates
The UFC and ESPN have not reported any injuries.
Acosta vs. Despaigne Betting Preview
To make the Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Robelis Despaigne betting prediction, you need to understand the betting lines for the upcoming UFC fights this weekend and know both fighters’ fighting styles.
According to the UFC odds, Despaigne is going into this weekend as the -225 betting favorite over the +190 Acosta. Odds heavily favor this fight to end inside the distance at -800. You can get Acosta to win inside the distance at +215 and Despaigne to do the same at -180.
From a stylistic point of view, Acosta has shown some serious skills in the UFC. He comes from a boxing background so he has some solid hand speed, and he is a very good athlete at his size. Sometimes, he overthrows his punches and they get longer and slower than they should be, but his power makes him a very scary opponent to trade strikes with.
Despaigne has a frame and skillset that we have never seen in MMA at this level. He is a traditional Taekwondo practitioner with only a few years of MMA experience, but the power he possesses hasn’t been seen since Francis Ngannou made his run to a UFC title.
The biggest factor in this matchup is the size of Despaine. His incredible height and reach allow him to fight freely with his hands down because he can hit his opponents from a distance where they can’t even think to touch him.
Acosta vs. Despaigne Betting Picks and Prediction
After carefully breaking down this fight from a technical standpoint, the official Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Robelis Despaigne betting prediction is that Despaigne wins this Saturday night by KO in the first round.
The size and skills of Despaigne are way too much to bet against right now at this point of his career. Acosta is a very good fighter with a lot of skill, but Despaigne’s presence gives opponents this sense of anxiety and fear–even when they are fighters at this level.
Acosta can either stand at range and get pieced up, or he can bite down on his mouthpiece and try to get on the inside, which will lead to him getting KO’d. Take Despaigne by KO in round 1 at -115.
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