One of the most interesting upcoming UFC fights this weekend in St. Louis is this featherweight matchup between UFC veteran Alex Caceres and rising prospect Sean Woodson. With both of these men having exciting styles, this will be a great fight to place UFC bets on and enjoy on Saturday night.
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Fighgt Details and Betting Picks
Alex Caceres vs. Sean Woodson Information
Location of the game: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, Missouri, United States
Date and Time: May 11, 2024. 7 PM ET Main card start
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Caceres vs. Woodson Picks
- Pick: Woodson by Decision +105
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Read more for the Caceres vs Woodson betting analysis and prediction before placing any bets on this weekend’s MMA slate.
Last Fight Record
Caceres is coming off a unanimous decision loss to Giga Chikadze last August in Singapore.
Woodson is coming off a split-decision win over Charles Jourdain at UFC 297 in January.
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Caceres vs Woodson Betting Analysis
Alex Caceres
Caceres is an American mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 21-14, including 4 TKO/KO wins and 7 submissions so far at the age of 35. He is an 8-time post-fight bonus winner over his 18 UFC fights.
Caceres is listed as a 5’10” southpaw freestyle fighter with a 73” reach. He averages 4.16 significant strikes landed and 2.93 absorbed per minute in the UFC, along with a 63% striking defense. He also holds a modest 64% takedown defense.
Sean Woodson
Woodson is an American MMA fighter with a professional record of 11-1-1, including 3 TKO/KO wins and 1 submission so far at the age of 31. He started with a love for boxing with some fights under his belt but ultimately found MMA as a teenager while living at Matt Hughes’ gym.
Woodson is a big featherweight, measuring in at 6’2” with a 78” reach while fighting out of the orthodox stance. In the UFC, Woodson averages 5.40 significant strikes landed per minute while absorbing 4.00. He also holds a solid 84% takedown defense over his UFC career.
Updates
No injuries have been reported to the UFC or ESPN.
Caceres vs. Woodson Betting Preview
The Caceres vs Woodson betting analysis can only tell you so much about how this fight most likely will play out. We need to look closer at the Alex Caceres and Sean Woodson betting odds and break down the styles of both fighters that can be seen from their fight tape.
According to the UFC odds this week, Caceres is going into the weekend as a +170 underdog against Woodson at -195 betting favorite odds. This bout is favored to go the distance at -260 as well.
Whenever Caceres is on the UFC schedule, the event seems to get more eyeballs. He has been in the game for a long time and the fans love the style he brings to the octagon. He is a crafty veteran now, setting up his grappling with interesting footwork or his high kick with feints.
Woodson is a difficult test for anybody in the division. If he keeps improving his all-around skills, he can easily be a legit contender in the future. He has awkwardly long arms that he uses to control the fight with a jab and they also make him difficult to hit.
Most Alex Caceres betting picks are made with him as the winner, but this is going to be a very tough fight for him. When UFC fighters in the lower weight classes turn 35 years old, the betting trends suggest they fall off rapidly.
Caceres vs. Woodson Betting Prediction
After breaking down the Caceres vs Woodson betting analysis and studying the styles and skills of both fighters on their fight tape, the official prediction for this main card featherweight bout is that Woodson will get his hand raised.
There isn’t much value in Woodson’s money line, so a good bet to make would be taking him to win by decision at +105. He can control the fight with his jab and use his output to win rounds. The speed and boxing ability of Woodson will give Caceres a lot of trouble on Saturday night.
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