After almost two weeks of incredible matches and some surprising BNP Paribas Open results, we’re down to just four players left at Indian Wells, one of the premier tennis events of the season. World No. 1 Novak Djokovic was shockingly eliminated in the third round, but will still maintain his top-ranked status after the conclusion of the tournament. Two players – Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz – have a chance to end the tournament as the second-ranked player in the world and they meet in the first of two semi-finals on Friday.
Sinner vs Alcaraz Picks
- Pick: Sinner -140
Sinner, who won the Australian Open, has yet to lose a singles match this season, while Alcaraz is looking for his first tournament win of the season. Let’s take a look at the Sinner vs Alcaraz betting analysis of the latest scores and odds.
Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Information
Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz
Location of the game: Indian Wells Tennis Garden in Indian Wells, California
Date & Time: Friday, March 15 at 3 p.m. ET
How to Watch: Tennis TV and ESPN+
Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Recent Scores
Sinner has had one of the best starts to any season in history and has won 16 consecutive matches, winning both of his starts this season at the Australian Open and ABN AMRO Open. He comes into the Sinner vs Alcaraz betting analysis with four consecutive straight-set victories at Indian Wells and has only lost 21 games. He beat Jiri Lehecka 6-3, 6-3 in the quarter-final. His tennis stats for the match included three aces, winning 85 percent of points on first serve, and going 3-of-11 in breakpoint opportunities.
Alcaraz hasn’t been as dominant this year as he had been in the prior two years, but is still a contender in any tournament he plays. The current world No. 2 survived a Round of 64 scare against Matteo Arnaldi but has since won three consecutive matches in straight sets, including a 6-3, 6-1 win over Alexander Zverev in the quarter-finals.
Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Betting Analysis
Sinner Undefeated in 2024
Sinner has been the story of the tennis world in early 2024 as he has yet to lose a match. Moreover, he has dropped just one set in nine matches since winning the Australian Open and has only lost four sets all season. He’s 62-14 in the last 52 weeks, including 46-7 on hard courts.
Sinner hasn’t necessarily won matches via a favorable schedule either. He has beaten Andrey Rublev, Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, and Alex De Minaur, among other quality players. Interestingly, he lost to Alcaraz in the semi-finals of last year’s BNP Paribas Open, but they meet under much different circumstances on Friday.
Alcaraz Looking to Get Back to Grand Slam Form
Alcaraz hasn’t played poorly by any means to start this season, but he hasn’t looked as dominant as he has in the past. He had a disappointing result at the Australian Open, losing to Zverev in the quarter-final, and had to retire in the first round at the Rio Open. However, he has looked impressive at Indian Wells, where he won last year with semi- and final victories over Sinner and Medvedev. He is in line to repeat that this year with Medvedev facing Tommy Paul in the other semi-final.
Alcaraz and Sinner have played each other eight times and split those matches, although Sinner has won the last two, including a straight-set victory on hard courts at the Beijing Open in 2023. They’re 2-2 in four matches on outdoor hard courts.
Updates
Both players are healthy with no injury returns for the Sinner vs Alcaraz betting analysis.
Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Betting Preview
Sinner is the betting favorite in the Sinner vs Alcaraz betting analysis with tennis odds of -150 for the moneyline. Alcaraz is a +115 moneyline underdog. Other tennis odds for the match include Sinner to win the first set (-140) and Alcaraz to win the first set (+105) at BetUS.
Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz Betting Prediction
Sinner has won two matches in a row against Alcaraz and has been playing at an unmatched level to begin this season. Any time you can get decent -150 odds for a player who is unbeaten two months into the season you should probably take it.
- Pick: Sinner -140
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