Here it is. The main event of the biggest card ever on the UFC fight schedule. Alex Pereira will be defending his light heavyweight title against the person who vacated it before him, Jamahal Hill. This is an incredible matchup between two of the most dangerous men on the planet.
Pereira vs. Hill Picks

- Pick: Hill via TKO/KO.
Continue reading for the official Pereira vs. Hill prediction ahead of placing any UFC bets on this weekend’s card.
Pereira vs. Hill Information
Alex Pereira vs Jamahal Hill
Location of the fight: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Date & Time: April 13, 2024. 10 PM ET PPV main card start
Where to Watch: ESPN+ PPV
Last Fight Record
Pereira is coming off defeating Jiri Prochazka by second-round TKO at UFC 295 to get his second UFC championship belt in as many weight classes.
Hill is making his return to the UFC for the first time since vacating the belt following his dominant unanimous decision win over Glover Texeira at UFC 283.
Pereira vs. Hill Betting Analysis
Alex Pereira
Pereira is a Brazilian mixed martial artist with a professional record of 9-2 in MMA, including 7 wins by TKO/KO. He is a former Glory kickboxing double-champion and Hall of Famer, who only started competing in the UFC in 2021. He is only the 9th UFC fighter in history to win championships in two divisions, and he is looking to make his first title defense.
Pereira is a 6’4” orthodox kickboxer with a 79” reach at the age of 36. In the octagon, he averages 5.00 significant strikes landed and 3.65 absorbed per minute. He also holds a 70% takedown defense, even though he is a novice wrestler compared to his peers.
Jamahal Hill
Hill is an American fighter with a professional MMA record of 12-1, including 7 TKO/KO wins. He was the first alum of Dana White’s Contender Series to win a world title and has four post-fight bonuses collected in the UFC. He is coming off a ruptured achilles that he suffered in a charity basketball game.
Hill matches the physicals of Pereira, being listed at an identical 6’4” with a 79” reach. He is four years younger than the current champion, averaging 7.31 significant strikes landed per minute while only absorbing 3.35. He has a 73% takedown defense, but he won’t need to worry about defending takedowns on Saturday.
Updates
No injuries have been reported to the UFC or ESPN.
Pereira vs. Hill Betting Preview
First, we need to preview the betting lines and study the film on both guys to be able to form Jamahal Hill betting insights or potentially place a bet on Alex Pereira.
The current UFC odds have Pereira as the -132 betting favorite in his first title defense against the +112 former champion. Don’t be surprised if this fight closes even closer to EVEN odds as well. This bout is favored to end inside the distance at -450.
Stylistically, this is arguably the most dangerous fight of Pereira’s career. Pereira is a very good kickboxer with elite distance management and fight-ending power in his hands. He can control fights with his leg kicks as well.
Don’t forget about how good Hill is, though. He is as tough as they come and has a sniper of a right hand. He’s also an elite athlete for his size. He can move differently than most fighters his size being a good basketball player his whole life.
The biggest question mark going into this fight is the health and durability of Hill’s Achilles. That is a massive injury that needs a lot of effort and time to be able to come back fully from it.
Pereira vs. Hill Betting Prediction
In this amazing main event, our official Pereira vs. Hill prediction is that Hill will get his hand raised via TKO/KO on Saturday night.
This is a great pick to make because you get Hill at underdog odds in a matchup that isn’t as scary as it might seem for him. He is confident and has a chip on his shoulder to prove a lot of people wrong.
The deciding factor of this matchup is the style of Jamahal Hill. He is an athlete who trains in MMA going up against a kickboxer. Hill can find the target from multiple angles and with different weapons. He is going to find success in the clinch, with elbows, and using unorthodox combinations at range.
- Pick: Hill via TKO/KO.
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