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Home▷UFC Picks and Parlays▷UFC Fight Night: Amanda Ribas vs. Rose Namajunas Betting Analysis and Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Amanda Ribas vs. Rose Namajunas Betting Analysis and Prediction

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JULIEN DE ROSA / AFP

Amanda Ribas and Rose Namajunas are set to headline this weekend’s event on the UFC fight schedule in Las Vegas at the UFC APEX. Namajunas is looking to bounce back from back-to-back losses against elite talent, but the UFC did her no favors by matching her with a tough Brazilian in the top 10 of two divisions.

Ribas vs. Namajunas Picks
UFC Logo

  • Pick: Page insider the distance +400.

Read more for the official Ribas vs Namajunas prediction before you make any UFC bets on this weekend’s card.

Amanda Ribas vs Rose Namajunas Information

Amanda Ribas vs Rose Namajunas

Location of the game: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Date & Time: March 23, 2024. 10 PM ET main card start

How to Watch: ESPN+

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Last Fight Record

Ribas is coming off a big TKO win over Luana Pinheiro last November.

Namajunas is coming off a very close decision loss to Manon Fiorot last September in France.

Amanda Ribas vs Rose Namajunas Betting Analysis

Amanda Ribas

Ribas is a Brazilian mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 12-4, including 3 wins by TKO/KO and 4 wins by submission. She is 30 years old and has been in the UFC since 2019–winning two post-fight bonuses so far and being ranked in the top 10 of both the women’s strawweight and flyweight divisions. She trains out of a great room at American Top Team as well.

Ribas stands at 5’3″, typically a natural strawweight, but competing up at flyweight with a 66″ reach, predominantly adopting the orthodox stance. She averages 4.92 significant strikes landed per minute while absorbing 3.33. She adds 1.99 takedowns per 15 minutes at a 51% clip, along with holding a stout 87% takedown defense going into this weekend.

Rose Namajunas

Namajunas boasts a professional MMA record of 11-6, including 2 TKO/KO victories and 5 submission wins. She has cemented herself as a UFC legend already, being a two-time strawweight champion and now chasing her third title at a new weight. She has taken home 6 post-fight bonuses in the UFC thus far.

At 31 years old, Namajunas is a 5’5″ orthodox striker with a reach of 65″. In the octagon, she averages 3.68 significant strikes landed and 3.53 significant strikes absorbed per minute. She adds 1.49 takedowns per 15 minutes to her offensive arsenal, while holding a modest 60% takedown defense.

Updates

The UFC and ESPN have reported no injuries.

Amanda Ribas vs Rose Namajunas Betting Preview

Whenever ‘Thug’ Rose Namajunas is on the UFC schedule, you should always tune in. This Ribas vs Namajunas prediction will help you enjoy the fights even more while winning money.

Moving on to the UFC odds for this bout, Namajunas is currently the -205 betting favorite over Ribas at +175. The odds favor this bout to end within the 25-minute limit at -160, a notable occurrence for a women’s flyweight fight.

Stylistically, this is an awesome matchup between a tough, durable Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu fighter and a crafty kickboxer with elite grappling abilities as well.

It’s tough to imagine that Ribas’ game plan isn’t to take Namajunas down, but that’s not an easy path to victory either. Namajunas will be looking to use her movement around the octagon to control the distance and pick Ribas apart from the outside.

The UFC APEX cage is about 44% smaller than the regular octagon at other shows, so this will make it tougher for Namajunas to keep Ribas away from her. During the fight, Ribas will assert her dominance by not allowing Namajunas to dictate the pace, even during close-quarters exchanges.

Amanda Ribas vs Rose Namajunas Betting Prediction

After considering the possible outcomes with the styles and most likely gameplans of both women, the official Ribas vs Namajunas prediction is that Namajunas gets her hand raised.

It’s too difficult to predict how and what round, but this could easily be a slow-paced 25-minute decision win for the former champion. She knows she only needs a win on her record to move closer to her ultimate goal.

With that being said, this is still the most exciting upcoming UFC fight this weekend because there’s a chance we witness a stunning performance from Namajunas. That’s what she brings to the table; when she’s on fire, she’s on fire. Her toughest opponent seems to be in her head as she makes that walk.

  • Pick: Namajunas By decision +170

If you love sports and want more sports betting information follow us as @InsidersBetDig on Twitter and sign up to our mailing list for free betting picks.

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