One of the more interesting upcoming UFC fights is this co-main event between unranked featherweights Alexander Hernandez and Damon Jackson. Both men are fighting to continue their trek to bigger fights in the future.
Learn more by continuing to read this Hernandez vs Jackson betting analysis and prediction before placing any UFC bets this weekend.
Hernandez vs. Jackson Information
Alexander Hernandez vs. Damon Jackson
Location of the fight: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Date and Time: April 06, 2024. 6 PM ET main card start
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Last Fight Record
Hernandez is looking to bounce back from a tough loss to Bill Algeo last October via unanimous decision.
Jackson is coming off back-to-back losses to tough opponents; most recently being against Billy Quarantillo last August.
Hernandez vs. Jackson Betting Analysis
Alexander Hernandez
Hernandez is an American mixed martial artist with a professional record of 14-7, including 6 TKO/KO victories and 2 submissions. He came into the UFC with a bunch of hype, being the Hero FC lightweight champion and earning the 2018 UFC Debut of the Year honors from an MMA publication, along with securing three post-fight bonuses in the company. After struggles at 155 lbs, he moved back down to featherweight in 2022.
Hernandez is listed as a 5’9” orthodox fighter with a 72” reach at the age of 31. In the octagon, “The Great Ape” averages 4.63 significant strikes landed and 4.90 absorbed per minute. He also lands 1.20 takedowns per 15 minutes and a 31% clip and has a modest 60% takedown defense.
Damon Jackson
Jackson is an American mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 22-6-1, including 4 TKO/KO wins and an impressive 15 wins by submission. He has competed for plenty of high-level promotions like Bellator, Legacy FC (featherweight champ), LFA (interim featherweight champ), and King of the Cage. He is a two-time Performance of the Night winner in the UFC so far as well.
Jackson is listed as a 35-year-old switch-stance submission artist with a height of 5’11” and a reach of 71”. In the octagon, he averages 3.02 significant strikes landed and 3.46 absorbed per minute. His most dangerous weapon is his grappling ability, averaging 2.44 takedowns per 15 minutes and 1.6 submission average per 15 minutes.
Updates
No injuries have been reported to the UFC or ESPN.
Hernandez vs. Jackson Betting Preview
After that in-depth Hernandez vs Jackson betting analysis, it’s time to look closer at the betting lines and the styles. These two things can allow you to understand what the best bet to make is this weekend.
The UFC odds have Hernandez as the -205 betting favorite over the +175 Jackson. This bout is favored to end inside the distance at -195 as well.
The Hernandez vs. Jackson odds don’t show how close this fight is. Both men are fighting for their next contract seemingly every time they step foot in the octagon.
Hernandez is going to have the power and speed advantage on Saturday night. That is a big deal in MMA because that means the fight can be decided before Jackson even gets the chance to take it to the ground where he is most comfortable.
Jackson is a crafty veteran of the sport who is tough as nails and can take a shot, get hurt, and then still come back to win the fight. This is a dangerous way of working with Hernandez in front of you, though. No matter how good your chin is, it’s going to be very tough taking clean shots from Hernandez too often.
Whenever you see Jackson on the UFC schedule, you should watch. What he lacks in athleticism and skill, he makes up for in heart and determination. Hernandez has taken a big hit to his ego since falling off from his loud start in the UFC, but he is in the middle of his prime and still very dangerous.
Hernandez vs. Jackson Betting Prediction
The Hernandez vs Jackson betting analysis proves that you need to look closer to a matchup than what it says on paper about the two fighters’ careers. After breaking down the styles of both guys and how the betting lines look, we know who and what to bet on.
The official Alexander Hernandez vs. Damon Jackson prediction is that Hernandez will get the job done and his hand raised on Saturday night. It’s very tough to bet against Jackson because he is deserving of a win, but the speed and power of Hernandez aren’t smart to bet against.
Hernandez is also a solid wrestler who can keep the fight and zap some energy from Jackson early on. The power and boxing ability of the younger fighter will take it’s toll on Jackson as the fight goes on.
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