One of the key fights on the main card of UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen, is the middleweight bout between Josh Fremd (9-3) and Tresean Gore (3-2). Both men have gotten off to rocky starts to their UFC careers and are looking for a big performance to get back on track.
Last Fight Record
Josh Fremd lost his first UFC fight via decision to Anthony Hernandez in his last appearance in the octagon.
Tresean Gore got KO’d in his last time fighting in the octagon. It was a first-round finish by Cody Brundage.
Fremd vs. Gore Betting Analysis
Josh Fremd
Fremd is an exciting young prospect from the northeast with a ton of potential. Standing at 6’4, he has a massive size advantage over most people in this division. Also, he keeps showing improvements every time he fights with how he manages distance and uses his length to win fights.
After a great run in LFA with pretty much all first-round knockouts, Fremd has tons of hype from the regional MMA scene that he wants to carry into the UFC. This is a great opportunity for him to fight someone that has a bigger name than him already.
A Fremd vs Gore betting analysis can’t be done without talking about the danger of Fremd’s length and striking ability against Gore. Gore likes to rush into range with big shots that leave his chin open for sharp counterstrikes from Fremd.
Being in the LFA for a while has only helped Fremd prepare for fight week at UFC events and provided him with experience to get through big UFC events. The LFA does a great job preparing fighters for that experience with the media obligations and things of that nature.
Tresean Gore
After winning fans over and proving himself during The Ultimate Fighter in 2021, Tresean Gore is trying to get back to that positive mindset he had on the show. After two tough losses following an injury that pulled him from the TUF Finale, this is for sure trouble he needs to fight out of.
Gore tends to fight with a lot of emotion. Even in the lead-up to fights, he will use his emotions to get him ready to go out there, it seems. He has made a priority this fight week to talk about his changes emotionally and with his surroundings for this fight camp. It will be interesting to see how he comes out on Saturday night and if we notice any major changes in his fighting style.
The biggest focus for this matchup should be finding his inside on Fremd. Gore has the power that whenever this fight gets into boxing range, Fremd is in a lot of danger to get clipped or even getting finished with one punch.
Updates
There are no updates for the fight at this time. No recorded injuries to the NSAC.
Josh Fremd vs. Tresean Gore Betting Preview
After the Fremd vs Gore betting analysis, let’s look into the oddsmaker’s decisions and UFC odds for this bout. Tresean Gore is the slight betting underdog this weekend with +124 odds compared to Fremd’s -144 line as the betting favorite.
The fight going the distance prop bet is also in plus odds for this one. This tells you that oddsmakers expect someone to be finished in this fight. According to MMA stats, Fremd has only gone to the scorecards 4 out of 12 fights, and Gore has twice. Both these guys have the ability to finish the other.
The UFC schedule doesn’t always have too many really talented prospects facing each other on main cards like this. It is rare to see two young fighters with the same level of massive potential fighting each other this early in their careers.
Fremd is going into this one with a “back against the wall” mentality as he mentioned in multiple interviews leading up to fight week. This seems to make him have a very focused mindset where he see Gore being aggressive and technical. This is a different headspace than Gore usually goes into his fights with, trying to psych himself up and say he is better than his opponent.
Fremd vs. Gore Betting Predictions
While breaking down the styles and piecing together a Fremd vs Gore betting analysis, the length and counter-striking ability of Fremd jumps out. It is going to be tough to bet against the slick striking of Fremd that historically matches up well against the aggressive brawler.
Gore will come out slow and will make his calculations on how he wants to go about landing clean shots on Fremd. I believe that Fremd is more of the natural martial artist and will be able to flow with the direction of the fight wherever it goes.
Fremd has the ability to counterstrike and hurt Gore, then go on the offensive and put Gore away while piecing him up on the feet. There just seems to be many more avenues to victory for Fremd than there is for Gore. That is the main reason this one is on the slate for UFC predictions this weekend.
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