After 20 years off the WNBA’s most prominent stage, the New York Liberty likely hoped for a better return than the 17-point loss they took in Game 1. What doomed the Liberty was an off-shooting night and a lack of an ability to get to the free-throw line. But anyone who makes Liberty vs Aces betting picks knew that Las Vegas had an excellent defense.
Liberty vs Aces Picks
Bet on New York Liberty Spread +5.
The Aces’ defensive efforts are usually overshadowed by their dazzling offense. After appearing to run out of gas in August, the playoffs seem to have given the defending champions a shot in the arm. Another win at home would put Las Vegas in prime position to be the first repeat WNBA champion in over 20 years.
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces Odds
- Spread: WNBA Finals odds show that the Aces are a 5-point favorite.
- Moneyline: The Aces are -218 on the moneyline, while the Liberty are +180.
- Over/Under: The over/under has been set at 171.5 points.
Liberty vs. Aces Information
New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces
Location of the game: Michelob ULTRA Arena. Las Vegas, NV.
Date & Time: Wednesday, October 11. 9:00 p.m.
How to watch: ESPN
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces Analysis
Ionescu Needs to Rediscover Herself
When everything is going well, New York guard Sabrina Ionescu has a blistering shooting touch. But anyone making Liberty vs Aces betting picks will see Ionescu hasn’t had that same spark during the past few games. Ionescu made 1 of 5 3-point attempts in the series opener and finished with nine points.
Ionescu has been held to single-digit scoring in two straight playoff games. She averaged 17 points per game in the regular season. But WNBA stats show that Ionescu wasn’t the only Liberty player to start the finals with a dud. The Liberty only made 31 percent (9 of 29) of their 3-point attempts and only made 13 trips to the free-throw line.
Jonquel Jones was a bright spot for the Liberty, scoring 16 points and grabbing ten rebounds.
Key Injuries
New York doesn’t have any key players on the injury report.
Betting Trends to Know
- The Liberty are 1-4 against the spread over their past five games.
- New York’s last four games have gone over the total.
- In the playoffs, the Liberty are 3-5 against the spread.
Vegas Would Like a Repeat
Las Vegas saw all its starters dig in and turn in fantastic performances to open the series. What makes the Aces such a tough team to handle in the WNBA standings is how well their starters perform when needed. A’ja Wilson, Jackie Young, Chelsea Gray, and Kelsey Plum all played 36 minutes or more in the win.
People making Liberty vs Aces betting picks will see Young and Plum tied for a team-high 26 points. Young’s perimeter shooting, she made 5 of 8 3-pointer attempts, helped open up driving lanes for her teammates. Las Vegas went to the free-throw line 23 times and made 20 free throws.
Key Injuries
The Las Vegas Aces don’t have any major injuries.
Betting Trends to Know
- The Aces are 4-3 against the spread in the postseason.
- The under has gone 4-2-1 in Las Vegas’ playoff games.
- Las Vegas was 21-19 against the spread in the regular season.
Liberty vs. Aces Betting Picks
Making WNBA Finals picks requires being weighed down by recency bias. New York struggled mightily during the second half of the series opener, but each game isn’t necessarily impacted directly by the game before it.
This is an excellent spot to bet on New York as an underdog. The Liberty will feel a sense of urgency to win this game and have succeeded in Las Vegas already this season.
This game will find a way to go over the total. It is unlikely that New York will have another poor shooting performance in Game 2. This game will be hotly contested and should feature a lot of points.
The Liberty have been one of the WNBA teams that has been good as underdogs this season. New York will cover the spread.
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces Prediction
- WNBA Pick: Liberty +5
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