As we approach the midpoint of the season and NFL schedule, both teams are looking to compete for a playoff spot in their respective divisions in week 9.
The Indianapolis Colts (3-4-1) are coming off a defensive battle that saw them ultimately fall to the Titans 19-10 at home, affecting their NFL standings.
Meanwhile, the New England Patriots (4-4) took care of a streaking Jets team and knocked them off for a 22-17 victory on the road.
The Colts are still looking for their identity on offense and will have a tough matchup on the road in Foxborough.
The Patriots, on the other hand, have been soaring lately and look to continue their success when they defend their home turf. With all that said, let’s take a look at the Colts vs Patriots betting picks.
Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots
Matchup Info
- Game Day: Sunday, November 6, 2022
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
- Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Indianapolis Colts
The Commanders ruined Sam Ehlinger’s debut because the Colts’ offense was so bad that they only scored ten points, according to NFL player stats.
The Colts have failed to score more than 17 points in four of their last five games despite switching quarterbacks.
Making matters worse, they might not have star running back Jonathan Taylor, who left last week’s game with an injury.
NFL Team Stats
The Colts defense, according to NFL team stats, on the other hand, has kept them in all of their games this year.
Indianapolis was able to hold the Titans to 126 yards through the air and also forced a fumble. Overall, this defensive unit ranks ninth in yards allowed and seventh in points conceded per game (19.6)
Key Injuries
When it comes to the NFL injury report:
- Jonathan Taylor (ankle)
- Matt Ryan (shoulder)
- Kwity Paye (ankle)
Are all listed as questionable.
Betting Trends to Know
This season, the Colts are 3-5-0 against the spread. All Colts games this season—all but one—have been under the total.
The Colts have been the underdog three times this season, and they have won two of those games. Indianapolis’ last two games have failed to cover the spread.
New England Patriots
The Patriots have been able to handle business despite some quarterback controversy percolating in New England.
The team has gone on a four-game streak where they have averaged 25.8 points on offense while giving up just 16.3 over that time.
The Patriots will truly make things difficult for a rookie quarterback like Sam Ehlinger on defense.
In addition to intercepting Zach Wilson three times in their most recent meeting, the New England Patriots have the most league-wide takeaways (16), including ten interceptions.
Key Injuries
When it comes to the NFL injury report:
- Devante Parker (ankle)
- Adrian Phillips (back)
- Josh Uche (hamstring)
Are all listed as questionable.
Betting Trends to Know
In eight games against the spread, the Patriots have successfully covered the spread four times, including four in their last five contests.
When playing as at least 5.5-point favorites, the Patriots have not covered the spread. When it comes to the over/under, New England has evenly split the total (4-4).
The Patriots had a 5-1 record when they were a moneyline favorite at odds of -240 or less.
Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots Odds
The Patriots are the betting favorites in this game, according to oddsmakers, with the spread set at 5.5 points (-110).
In terms of the moneyline, the Colts odds are given +200 chances to win as road underdogs, while the Patriots are given -240 odds to defend their home turf.
The Over/Under for this contest is 39 points (-110). Now that the odds have been laid out let’s give away our Colts vs Patriots Betting Picks.
Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots Betting Picks
Moneyline
When it comes to the Patriots matchup on the Moneyline, back the Patriots in this spot, they have been playing solid, competitive football, and their defense has been their biggest asset.
Playing against an inexperienced QB, Bill Belichick should make things speed up for Colt’s starter Ehlinger in his first road start.
NFL Pick: Patriots (-240)
Point Total
This matchup has Under written all over it. The Patriots have been playing tremendous defense, surrendering just 16.3 points over a four-game span, and they will have their easiest matchup of the year against a quarterback who has never started a game on the road.
Meanwhile, the Patriots are having offensive issues as well as they have an identity crisis at quarterback.
Additionally, the Colts have gone under the total in seven of their eight games up to this point, so expect the total to stay under 39 points.
NFL Pick: Under 39 (-110)
Spread
The last time the Patriots played at home, they were crushed by the Bears in primetime. Despite this, they are still playing solid football.
The Patriots have been able to cover the spread in four of their last five games, while the Colts, on the other hand, have failed to cover the spread in their last two games, according to NFL team stats.
The Patriots’ defense is the difference-maker in this matchup, and I expect them to cover this one easily. NFL Pick: Patriots -5.5 (-110)
Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots Score Prediction
When it comes to Colts vs Patriots betting picks, the Indianapolis Colts showcased a new offense under first-time starter Sam Ehlinger, and they had just ten points to show for it.
To make things worse, they could potentially be without their top running back and have already traded away another running back at the trade deadline.
Who to Bet On?
The Colts look to be waving the white flag here, and although their defense has been good enough to keep them in games, I have a hard time seeing them being able to compete on the road.
Through eight games, New England has the most takeaways with 16, while Indianapolis has the most giveaways with 16. In other words, the Colts’ inability to safeguard the ball is set up to be a disaster for them.
The Patriots have some quarterback controversy, but that shouldn’t matter, as they run the ball extremely well. The Colts will dominate the time of possession and capitalize on turnovers from the Colts.
Score Prediction: Patriots 23, Colts 13
NFL Pick: Patriots -5.5 (-110)
If you love sports and want more sports betting information follow us as @InsidersBetDig on Twitter and sign up to our mailing list for free betting picks.