The New York Mets (59-68) and Atlanta Braves (81-44) will square off in a battle of NL East rivals on Wednesday. After splitting the first two games, each team will be looking for the series win in Wednesday’s finale.
Read ahead to get all of the information on this matchup, including our Mets vs Braves prediction.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
Before making our Mets vs Braves prediction, it is important to look at the MLB odds.
Moneyline: The Braves are the favorites in this one, playing at home. They are -195 to win, while the Mets’ moneyline sits at +175.
Spread: The spread features the Mets at +1.5, with odds of -120. The Braves are -1.5 on the spread, with odds of +100.
Over/Under: The over/under for total runs sits at 9.5. Both the over and under have odds of -110.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Information
New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves
Location of the game: Truist Park. Atlanta, Georgia.
Date & Time: Wednesday, August 23. 7:20 pm ET.
How to watch: MLB.TV
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Analysis
New York Mets Performance Recap and Analysis
After winning the opener 10-4, the Mets lost on Tuesday 3-2. Hoping to take the series, the Mets will look to win on the road, where they are 28-40 this season.
The New York Mets record sits at 59-68, currently 23 games behind the Braves in the NL East. In the Wild Card race, they sit 6.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot.
In Wednesday’s game, the Mets will turn to 34-year-old lefty Jose Quintana. Looking at his MLB player stats, he is 1-4 in six games with a 3.03 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, and he has 25 strikeouts in 35.2 innings.
Quintana has gone 1-2 in his last three starts, but he has only given up five earned runs in his last 18 combined innings.
Offensively, the New York Mets rank 17th in MLB team stats in scoring, averaging 4.47 runs per game (4.72 on the road). They are led by Pete Alonso, who is hitting .226/.325/.535 with a team-leading 39 home runs and 95 runs batted in.
Key Injuries
The MLB injury report shows that the Mets will be without outfielder Starling Marte (groin) and pitchers Edwin Diaz (knee) and Luis Guillorme (calf).
Betting Trends to Know
- The Mets come into this one 5-2 in their last seven games.
- Against the Braves, though, they are just 3-13 in their last 16 matchups.
- In their last nine games at Truis Park, they are just 1-8.
Atlanta Braves Performance Recap and Analysis
Of all the Atlanta Braves picks, taking them to win the division is probably the one bettors can feel most comfortable with. At 81-44, they have the best record in baseball and have a 12.5 game lead in the division over the Phillies.
Atlanta will hand the ball to 39-year-old righty Charlie Morton in this one. In 24 games, he is 12-10 with a 3.54 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, and he has 146 strikeouts in 134.2 innings.
He has picked up back-to-back wins entering Wednesday, going 11 straight scoreless innings.
Looking at their MLB team stats, the Braves rank tops in scoring, averaging just 5.80 runs per game (5.89 at home).
Matt Olson (43 HR, 108 RBI, 97 R), Austin Riley (29 HR, 77 RBI, 89 R), Ronald Acuna Jr (28 HR, 74 RBI, 113 R, 56 SB), and Ozzie Albies (28 HR, 90 RBI, 75 R, 11 SB) are all having phenomenal seasons thus far.
Key Injuries
While Albies is having a strong season, he won’t play in this one as he is on the injured list with a hamstring injury. Other key injuries include Kyle Wright (shoulder), Ian Anderson (elbow), and Tyler Matzek (elbow).
Betting Trends to Know
- For the Braves, they are 9-3 in their last 12 games and 12-3 in their last 15 home games.
- In five of their last seven games, the under has hit for the Braves.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Picks
For our Mets vs Braves prediction, we will be taking Atlanta to win playing at home (-195). Not only is the Braves’ offense the best in baseball, but starting pitcher Charlie Morton has pitched well at home. In 12 home starts, he is 6-5 with a solid 3.56 ERA.
While the Braves have the firepower to win this one, don’t be surprised if the Mets keep it close. Jose Quintana has pitched well as of late and should be able to keep the Mets close. For that reason, take the Mets +1.5 (-120).
Lastly, take the under on the runs scored (-110). Not only has the under hit in five of the last seven games for the Braves, but it has also hit for four out of the last six Mets’ games.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction
- MLB Pick: Braves 4 – Mets 3
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