Two of the best offenses in the NBA meet on Monday night. The Sacramento Kings will host the Memphis Grizzlies, who are in the middle of a five-game road trip. While both teams are coming off a loss, the Kings and Grizzlies were both recently riding incredible multi-game winning streaks.
We’ll review the stats, trends, and odds in our Grizzlies vs Kings betting preview before making out NBA picks today.
Last Game Records
Monday night’s Grizzlies vs Kings game will be the final of four NBA matchups between these teams this season. Memphis has won two of the three meetings this season.
Memphis won the first matchup 125-110 on October 27th and the second matchup 118-108 on January 1st.
Sacramento won 113-109 on the road in on November 22nd.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Sacramento Kings Odds
Grizzlies vs. Kings Information
Memphis Grizzlies (31-15) vs Sacramento Kings (26-19)
Location of the game: Golden 1 Center. Sacramento, California.
Date: Monday, January 23. 10:30 p.m. ET.
How to watch: NBA TV, fuboTV, NBCSCA, Bally Sports SE-MEM.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Analysis
Memphis Grizzlies
The Memphis Grizzlies enter Monday night sitting atop the Southwest Division with a 31-15 record, having lost their last two games. However, before this two-game losing streak, the Grizzlies were the hottest team in the NBA, with an 11-game winning streak,
Memphis’ current NBA schedule isn’t kind, as the Grizzlies are playing their third game in four nights and will be playing their third game of a five-game road trip.
The under is 9-1 in the Grizzlies’ last ten road games against teams with winning records. The over is 8–2 in the last ten games overall, and after the Grizzlies have given up 100 points or more.
Memphis’ defense is among the higher-ranked squads in NBA team stats, ranking seventh overall and giving up 111.9 ppg, while teams are shooting 44.4% from the field, which is the best in the NBA.
Oppositions are shooting 35.1% on three-point attempts (10th) and 78.1% from the free-throw line (15th) while pulling in 43.7 defensive rebounds per game (17th).
Offensively, the Grizzlies are ranked fifth in points per game, averaging 117.4 ppg, while shooting 47.1% from the field (16th) and 35% on three-point attempts (20th).
Memphis is the worst team in the league from the free-throw line, only completing 71.1 of their free throws. However, the Grizzlies are the best offensive-rebounding team in the league, averaging 49.4 rpg.
Unless he is being rested, you can expect Memphis’ offense to revolve around Ja Morant. Morant is averaging 27.2 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 7.9 assists, and shooting 46.4% from the field.
Sacramento Kings
The Sacramento Kings’ six-game winning streak ended in their last game, losing 129-197 to the Philadelphia 76ers. The Kings have won seven of the last ten games.
Sacramento has hit the over in three of the last five games and six of the last ten games.
The Kings are 3-0-1 against the spread (ATS) in the last four games against teams with a losing road record. Memphis has a losing road record of 11-12. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after scoring 125 points in the previous game.
Looking at the Sacramento Kings statistics, you’ll find a tale of two sides of the ball.
Offensively, Sacramento is ranked first in the NBA, averaging 120.0 points per game, third overall and shooting 49.3% from the field, and tenth on three-point attempts, shooting 36.7%.
The Kings are ranked 12th, shooting 79.2 from the free throw line, but struggle to rebound their missed shots, ranked 25th overall, grabbing 42.1 rpg.
Defensively, the Kings’ team stats are less impressive. Sacramento is ranked 24th in the NBA, giving up 117.1 ppg, while opposing teams are shooting 49% from the field (28th), 36.2% from beyond the arc (17th), and converting 80.0% of free throw attempts (27th).
While the Kings are better at rebounding around their basket, ranked sixth overall and grabbing 42.1 rpg, they are facing the best offensive rebounding team in the NBA.
De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis lead the Kings’ offense and the squad in NBA player stats. Fox is averaging 24.2 ppg, 4.3 RPG, 6.0 APG, and is shooting 50.7% from the field. Sabonis is averaging 18.8 ppg, 12.6 rpg, 7.3 APG, and is shooting an incredible 61.1% from the field.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Preview
Before we make any Memphis Grizzlies predictions, we need to review the NBA odds today.
The Grizzlies are the moneyline favorite, with odds between -114 and -120. The Sacramento Kings are the underdog, listed between +100 and -105.
The point spread is set between 0.5 and 1.5 depending on your sportsbook of choice, but the Kings are the slight favorite regardless of where the line is listed at. The Kings are listed at +0.5 to +1.5, with odds between -105 and -110.
Sacramento has a 24-20-1 ATS record, while Memphis has a 22-22-2 ATS record.
The total points line is set between 243.5 and 244.5. The over has odds between -108 and -110, while the under is listed between -105 and -113. The Grizzlies have a 23-22-1 over/under record, while the Kings have a 22-22-1 over/under record.
The Kings are 2-5 over/under in the last seven games with a 243.0 total points line or higher, while the Grizzlies have only faced one total points line of 243.0 or higher in their last ten games and failed to hit the over.
Interesting Grizzlies vs Kings betting trends to note: the over is 5-1 in the last six games in Sacramento, while the Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in the last four games in Sacramento. However, Memphis’ schedule should be factored into your NBA picks today.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Prediction
Now that we have reviewed the stats, Grizzlies vs Kings betting trends, and odds, it’s time to make our NBA picks today.
Considering the Grizzlies’ current road trip, the fact they are playing their third game in four nights, and aren’t great on the road, we’re taking the Sacramento Kings as the slight moneyline underdog.
On the point spread, we have to go against Memphis’ recent form in Sacramento and take the Kings to cover the spread, be it +0.5 or +1.5 points. We’re taking the Kings to win on the moneyline, and they’ll have to cover the spread at home to do so.
As for total points, while the Kings struggle defensively, both teams are in the top five in points per game. However, 243.5 or 244.5 points is a lot to score. We’re taking the under as neither team has been overly successful on total points lines over 243.0 points.
NBA Picks: Kings ML, Kings +0.5 to +1.5, Under.
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